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1、智课网TOEFL备考资料美债违约将冲击亚洲经济增长一托福阅读机经背景TheAsianDevelopmentBank(ADB)releaseditsupdatedeconomicoutlookonWednesday.Thebankreviseddownwarditsgrowthexpectationsfortheregionthisyear,andaddedthatfurthersignificantchangesintheforecastwillhavetobemadeiftheU.S.governmentdefaultsonit
2、sdebtobligationslaterthismonth.亚洲开发银行(ADB)星期三公布了最新的经济展望，把亚洲地区今年的增长幅度向下调整。不过，如果美国政府本月晚些时候发生债务违约，有关预测还会出现重大变化。InarevisionreleasedonWednesday,theADBreviseddownitsGDPgrowthforecastforAsiato6percentfromthe6.6percentitpredictedinApril.Thatisduetosofter-than-expectedeconomic
3、activityinChinaandIndiaandworriesabouttheimpactofthequantitativeeasingprogramintheUnitedStates.由于中国和印度的经济扩张比预期缓慢，再加上担心美国量化宽松”货币政策的影响，亚银星期三把亚洲GDP增长幅度从4月预测的6.6%下调到6%。WhattherevisiondoesnotincludeiswhatwouldoccurifU.S.lawmakersdonotraisethegovernment'sdebtceilingthismont
4、h.ThatwouldpromptanunprecedentedtechnicaldefaultbytheUnitedStatesonitsfinancialobligations.修改后的预测并不包括美国国会如本月拒不提高政府借款上限所带来的后果。这将导致美国国债技术性违约。TheADB'schiefeconomist,ChangYong-rhee,tellsVOAthatwouldcertainlymeanslowergrowth,notonlyfortheU.S.butforAsiaaswell.Theresultingma
5、rketturmoil,heforecasts,wouldbringthebiggesteconomicstormtotheregionsincethe2008financialcrisis.亚洲开发银行的首席经济师李昌镛(ChangyongRhee)对美国之音说，美国国债技术性违约将导致美国和亚洲经济发展放慢，随后的股市不稳会导致亚洲出现2008年亚洲金融危机以来的最大的经济风暴。"Wecanexpectalargeoutflowfromtheregion.Andprobablytheforeigndirectinvestmen
6、tandfundingissueswillcomeagain.SoIwouldrathersaythat,maybe,notasstrongas2008buttheimpactcanbeclosetothat,"saidChang.他说：“预计会有大量资金流出，可能会再次出现外国直接投资和资金短缺的问题。所以我要说，可能不会像2008年那么严重但是影响跟2008年差不多。”Chang,speakingfromHongKong,pointedoutthatsomeAsiancountrieswouldweatherthefinanc
7、ialstormbetterthanothers.李昌镛在香港接受采访时说，有些国家会比其他一些国家更有能力抵御金融风暴。"Ifyou'retalkingaboutlow-incomeAsiancountrieswhichhaveaverylimitedlinkagewiththeU.S.economyandalsotheirfinancialmarketsarerelativelyclosed,Ithinktheimpactwillbeless.Butifyou'retalkingaboutIndonesia,Malaysia,
8、Thailand,[South]Korea,HongKongandSingaporewhosecapitalmarketsaremoreopenandtheirgrowthhasbeenfueledbythecapitalinflowsrecent
