p公司基于汇率预测模型的供应链成本优化方案设计

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1、东华大学工商管理硕士学位论文AbstractWiththeadventofeconomicglobalization,thecompetitionbetweensupplychainshasgraduallyreplacedthecompetitionbetweentheenterprises;Optimizingsupplychaincostisanecessarystrategicforobtainingthecompetitionadvantageofenterprise.Becauseofunstablef

2、actorsintheworldeconomyandtheEuropeandebtcrisis,theexchangerateriskhasbecomeaproblemmanyenterpriseshadtoface.PCompanyisamajorproducerofcoaxialcable,whichsuppliesOEM,ODMproductsandtechnicalservicesfortheglobaltop500companies.Therearesomeproblemsintheprocessofsu

3、pplychainmanagementbecausePCompanycannotpredicttheexchangeratetrend:Rigidpurchasingmethodimpactstheprocurementcost,fixedpurchasingnumber,excessinventoryincreasesinventorycost,inflexibledeliverywayaffectsthelogisticscost.CombiningactualconditionsofPCompanyinthe

4、thesis,firstofallpredicttheexchangeratebasedonGARCHmodeliscreated.Themodelhashighaccuracyandstrongcapacityofpredictionfromtheresultsofmodelvalidation,whichhascertainapplicabilityontheshort-termexchangerateforecasting.Thentheschemeofsupplychaincostoptimizationi

5、nPCompanybasedontheresultofexchangeratepredictionisdesignedwhichincludingthreeparts:Optimizesthepurchasingdatewiththereorderpointformulatoreduceprocurementcosts;optimizesthepurchasingquantitywithEOQmodeltoreduceinventorycost;optimizesthedeliverywaywithtransshi

6、pmentproblemmodeltoreducelogisticscost.Finallythedesignschemeisvalidatedandtheresultsshowthepurchasingcost,theinventorycostandthelogisticscostforPCompanyarereducedapparently.Theresearchisanextensionofthesupplychaincostcontroltheory,anditcanprovideeffectivetheo

7、reticalguidanceforPCompany.KeywordsTheExchangeRate,GARCHModel,ReorderPoint,EOQ,TransshipmentII东华大学工商管理硕士学位论文目录摘要.........................................................................................................................IAbstract..................

8、................................................................................................II第一章绪论.............................................................................