公交短期客流预测与单程运营时间的分析

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1、ADissertationSubmittedinPartialFulfillmentoftheRequirementsfortheDegreeofMasterofEngineeringBusoperatorrelatedresearchbasedonAutomaticVehicleLocationDataCandidate:ZhangTonghuiMajor:SystemEngineeringSupervisor:Prof.ShenYindongHuazhongUniversityofScience&TechnologyWuhan430074,P.R.ChinaFebruary,201

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6、、úûឋvüឋᔠᳮᙢÿíᢝᔣïḄᐭs᪵@j。ᯠÅ，᪀⌼ᦪáÈᦋJḄ¥，ᓄ¹íᢝᔣï⚜ÑḄGÓᦪ：Óᦪ^¥CxO᪶ᦪÓᦪCḄP。ᨬÅᑭᵨ᧡!6"ḄZV᪵@NÚ#jJK$%ᐹᨵ'(ḄÑ，S⊤?)*+E¯KḄ。ÚÛêyᙢᑖ᪆ᓫ⃩，@ᦻ¸ᵨáÈGPSᦪ´ḄᑖÀ⃩ᭆ᳛ᑖ-ᑖ᪆z。✌ᐜqᓫ⃩GPSᦪ´r'Ú./ᑖ᪆，ᒹóôõᓛ1v23ᦪ´Ḅᑖvᜐᳮ。ᵫÈᔜÀḄ⃩2'ᜧ，ᑖÀ6xᑖ᪆78êy9:⃩。;，@ᦻáÈᜧï⚜ᜐᳮÅḄGPSᦪ´，<<ឋᙢ°=means>?ᵨÈ⃩Àᑜᑖ，ᔠ᪵@

7、ᦪ´ᱯõ，ÿAÜBᦋJḄ^-means>，ᐸYᦋJC,ḄDEFY=⌱Hz，ÿAᑭᵨèIb½{JKbL⌕ḄMNAváÈ*O>PQḄFY=Û<。ᓝᛆ4"ḄᫀTᑖ᪆ḄS⊤?@ᦻḄX-means>z¯K，ᦋJḄAᦔ᳛Ûå，ᑜᑖḄÀV▭ÐẆᑖ᪆SÛ6Xᔠ。ᨬÅ，ᑖÀJKᓫ⃩Ḅᭆ᳛ᑖ-ᑖ᪆，Yqßå⃩zᫀḄêõ᳛Z[ᐹᨵÒ⌕¹，ÚJÜÝ⊤Ḅ±ᑴv]^ÐÑßàÒ⌕ḄᳮDvᦪ´áẠ。ᐵ_`：a8íᢝᔣïb⚜Àᑜᑖ^-means>⃩ᑖ᪆ᦪ´᢬᣾I万方数据¬Y(ᢈᜧắDᦻAbstractThemainpurposeofop

8、erationalanalysisistounderstandthecurrentstatusofpublictransportoperatorstoobtainkeydataassociatedwiththebusoperatorstoprovideabasisforthepreparationofafurtherprogram,makingthepreparationoftheprogramexecutablerateshigher.Thisarticleisfromtheshort-passengerbusesandtwo-wayoperatorstimetoanalyze.Bu

9、spassengerflowforecastfortheshort-termproblem,usingthe-supportvectorregressiontopredicttransittraffic(includingsitesboardingandlowernumberofguests).AndselectthecorrespondingimprovedPSOalgorithmtooptimizetherelationshipbetwee