信用担保项目风险评价与防控策略

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1、AbstractInrecentyears，tosolvefinancingproblems，countrieshavestronglyadvocatedthedevelopmentofcreditguaranteesystemandintroducedaseriesofpoliciestostimulateguaranteebusiness，coupledwiththelowentrythresholdoftheguaranteecompany，thenumberoftheguaranteecompanyisincreasing

2、．Therapiddevelopmentofthecreditguaranteeindustryplaysapromoteroletoalleviatetheproblemoffinancing，butasabusinesswithrisk，toorapidmayevokemorerisks．Iftheriskcannotbeidentificatedandassessedaccuratelyandwithnoeffectivepreventionandcontrolpolicy,thequalityoftheguaranteep

3、rojectandthedevelopmentoftheentireguaranteeindustrywillbeaffected．However,therearelotsofproblemsoncreditguaranteeprojectriskassessmentandpreventionnow，suchastheuncertaintyoftheriskfactors，nouniformoftheriskindexsystemandthelackofqualitativeandquantitativeanalysismeans

4、ofriskfactors．Therefore，theidentificationandassessmentofcreditguaranteeprojectriskfactorisofgreattheoreticalsignificanceandapplicationvalue．ThispaperisbasedonprojectinvestmentrisktheoryandthesuccessfuluseofDelphimethodandAHP，researchingthesystemofacreditguaranteeproje

5、ctriskidentificationandassessment．Firstofall，inviewofthedevelopmentcreditguaranteeindustry,Ianalyzethecreditguaranteeprojectriskassessmentofthesituationandproposetheproblemofcreditguaranteeprojectrisk．Secondly,onthebasisofanalyzingqualityriskofcreditguaranteeprojectop

6、erators，financialrisks，marketrisks，businessrisks，associatedrisks，policyrisksandhistoricalfactors，IidentifiedthekeyriskfactorswithDelphimethod，andestablishafuzzycomprehensiveassessmentmodelofcreditguaranteeprojectriskandprovideassessmentmethodsofgeneralcreditguaranteep

7、rojectriskassessment．Finally，ImakeanempiricalanalysisofHuachenggasstationguaranteeitemwiththeriskassessmentmodel，andproposepreventionmeasuresofcreditguaranteeprojectonthebasisofthatanalysis．AbstractThecharacteristicsofthepaperareasfollows：I．Exploringthefinancialguaran

8、teeprojectriskinviewofqualityriskmanagers，financialriskfactorsandSOon，andmakinganidentificationandanalysisbyDelphimethod；2．E