基于干旱指数的广西干旱时空变化分析

基于干旱指数的广西干旱时空变化分析

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时间:2019-01-31

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1、AbstractGuangxiislocatedinsemi-tropicalarea,withhumidclimate,richprecipitationandwelldevelopedwatersystem,suchas,LiujiangRiver,LijiangRiver(inGuangxi),HongshuiRiveretc.Butcauseoftheunevendistributionofprecipitation,therunoffallarezonalandperiodicinthisarea,whichleadstoinconveniencetotheuseofwater

2、inindustrialandagricultural,evenleadstodryingupofrivers,theshortageofwaterresources,theproblemsofdrinkingwater,andrestrictthedevelopmentoftheeconomy,eventhoughgetaseriesofecologicalenvironmentproblems.Inrecentyears,extremedroughteventsoccurredfrequentlyinourcountry,whichseriouslyaffectspeople'spr

3、oductionandlife.Thestudyisbasedonthemeteorologicalobservationdatafrom1961to2010of20nationalstandardmeteorologicalstationswhichlocatedinGuangxiprovince,andinterpolatethedatawithANUSPLINsoftware,andintroducedtheinterpolationresultsintoArcGISmappingforspatialanalysis.First,westudyonthetemporalandspa

4、tialdistributioncharacteristicsofprecipitationandtemperatureinGuangxiforrecent50years.Secondly,calculatethedroughtindexsuchasthePalmer,SPI,SPEIandtheextremeclimateindexwiththeapplicationofthemeteorologicaldataofeachstation,andanalysisthetemporalandspatialdistributioncharacteristicsofthelongtermme

5、teorologicaldroughtinGuangxifor50yearsfromtheperspectiveofmeteorologicaldrought.Finally,analysisoftheimpactofclimatechangeonbananaplantingareaissuitableforuseinbananaplantingfromtheperspectiveofagriculture.ThestudyshowsthattheprecipitationandtemperatureinGuangxiareashowsobviousimbalanceintemporal

6、andspatialdistribution.Intime,theprecipitationandtemperatureshowedtheobviousseasonalvariation,whichmeanstheprecipitationandtemperaturereachesthemaximumvalueinsummer,andthendecreasedgraduallytothelowestinwinter.Inthesequenceof50years,Guangxishowedaslowdownwardtrendinprecipitation,whilethereisasign

7、ificantupwardtrendintemperature.Inspace,thereisacertaincorrelationbetweenthedistributionofprecipitation,temperatureandaltitude,thevalueinSouthishigherthanNorth.Eachdroughtindexshowsthatthefrequencyofdroughtwaslowinthef

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