河北南网电力市场调研与负荷预测

河北南网电力市场调研与负荷预测

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时间:2019-01-31

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1、摘要AbstractInavarietyofenergysources,theproduction,transmission,distributionandconsumptionofelectricityarecompletedsimultaneously.Electricalenergyistoodifficulttostore,ithasverystrictrequirementsonthesystemgeneratedoutputwhichmustfollowthechangeofsystemload

2、toreachthereal-timedynamicequilibrium.SincethenewCentury,China'snationaleconomydevelopedrapidly,powerloadforecastingofelectricitymarketenvironmenthasbecomefocusofattentionofthepowerindustry.There'resomanyimportantinfluencestoconsider,withinclusionofsystemo

3、peratingcharacteristics,naturalconditions,socialconditionsandregionaleconomicconditions,undergoingaseriesofmathematicalcalculationsbyhistoricalloadvalue,inthecaseofcertainaccuracyandspeedtodecidetheloadinaperiodoftimeoraspecificmomentoffuture.Control,opera

4、tionanddevelopmentplanningofthepowersystemcan'tcarryonwithoutloadforecastingwhichisconsideredasthebasisofeffectivefunctioningoftheelectricitymarket.BasedonreviewingtheoveralleconomicdevelopmentofSouthHebeipowerregion,toanalyzethefactoraffectingthedevelopme

5、ntofthepowerindustry,toresearchdevelopment,theoverallelectricityconsumption,powerloadcharacteristicsandchangingtrendsofkeyindustrieswhichhavegreatestimpactonPowerGrid.Toanalyzecharacteristicsofthetypicalelectricityusersonebyone,epeciallythesteelindustrywhi

6、chisconsideredasthepillarindustriesaffectedonelectricityofSouthPowerGrid,andpredictthetrendsandtheimpactonthegridinthefuture.Atlast,byresearchingthefactorsthatinfluencepowerload,summarizesfactorsthatinfluencethepowerconsumptionandgivethepredictionandopinio

7、ns.Conductingelectricitymarketresearchcanacquiremoreanalysingandforecastingexperience,andimprovetheaccuracyofprediction,provideguidancestrengthenplanningofPowerGrid.Keywords:Economicdevelopment;Keyindustries;Trendofdevelopment;ForecastII目录目录摘要.............

8、..............................................................................................................................IIAbstract........................................................................

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