毕业论文：出版社市场占有率预测模型.doc

《毕业论文：出版社市场占有率预测模型.doc》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在教育资源-天天文库。

1、SelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPointsSelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPointselectionParagraaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPointsSelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesTSelectionParbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbb

2、bbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbagraphFoLineSpacingLinesToPointsSelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPointse11111111111111111111111111111111lectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPointsSelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPoctionParagraphFormatLineSpaci22

3、22222222222222222222ngLinesToPoints2SelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPointsSelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPointselectionParagraphFccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccormatLineSpacingLinesToPointsSelectionParagraphFormatLineSpac

4、ingLinesToPoctionParagraSelec出版社市场占有率预测模型摘要本文建立了一个如何调查和预测出版社的市场占有率模型。考虑到经费、时间、人力等条件的制约，普查不可取，只能进行抽样调查，但抽样的样本数越少，抽样误差越大，若过多又不实际在建立模型时，综合以上论述我们首先设计出一种有效而可行的抽样方案，即采用多阶段抽样结合随机、分层抽样等方法进行抽样，然后根据已设计好的抽样方案进行调查得出数据，进而根据三次指数平滑法得出基于调查数据的市场评估、预测模型，预测P115出版社后三年的市场占有率分别为：0.2600，0.

5、2579，0.2556。从而可看出P115出版社后几年的市场占有率将会出现小幅度逐渐降低的趋势关键字：多阶段抽样，样本数，样本误差，市场占有率，三次指数平滑法SelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPointsSelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPointselectionParagraaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPoin

6、tsSelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesTSelectionParbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbagraphFoLineSpacingLinesToPointsSelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPointse11111111111111111111111111111111lectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPo

7、intsSelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPoctionParagraphFormatLineSpaci2222222222222222222222ngLinesToPoints2SelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPointsSelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPointselectionParagraphFcccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccc

8、ccccccccccccccccccormatLineSpacingLinesToPointsSelectionParagraphFormatLineSpacingLinesToPoctionParagraSelecSelectionParagraphForma