区域产业结构优化最优控制模型的建立与求解

区域产业结构优化最优控制模型的建立与求解

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时间:2019-01-30

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1、8●ThemodelingofregionalindustrialstructureoptimalcontrolmodelanditssolutionHeXiaoyu(Controlscienceandengineering)DirectedbyProf.LiShurongAbstractInrecentyears,theeconomicstructureofourcountryhasconfrontedbaptismofcomplexenvironmentathomeandabroad.Industrialsystemwhichissupporte

2、dbyenergyintensiveandhighlypollutingtradesandlow·endmanufacturingcannotkeepupwiththefiercemarketcompetition.Transformingthemodeofeconomicdevelopmentandoptimizingtheeconomicstructurehavegotcloseattentionfromthegovernment.Soithasimportanttheoryvalueandpracticalsignificancetostudy

3、theproblemofindustrialstructureoptimization.Input—outputmodelisthefoundationofindustrialstructureoptimizationmodel.Whethertheinput—outputmodelispreciseornotcanaffectresultsofindustrialstructureoptimizationmodel.Thispaperestablishesabasicinput-outputoptimalcontrolmodelandsetsbal

4、ancebetweensupplyanddemandasallobjectivefunction.ThemodelissolvedaccordingtOstatisticaldataofadistrictandoptimalcontrolandoptimaltrajectoryaregiven.Thenonthebasisofactualeconomicstate,stochasticvariablesandfuzzyvariablesaremineddeeplyininput—outputmodel.Directconsumptioncoeffic

5、ientmatrixandinvestcoefficientmatrixaleassumedasstochasticmatrices.Boundsofcontrolvariablesaresupposedasfuzzyconstraints.Thisuncertaininput—outputoptimalcontrolmodelissolvedcombiningwithstatisticaldataofthedistrict.Theresultsdemonstratethatoptimizationresultsofuncertainmodel,th

6、atisproductionvalueofeveryindustry,canfitsocialneedspreferably.Amulti—objectiveindustrialstructureoptimizationmodelisestablished.Economicgrowth,fullemploymentandpollutioncontrolalesetasobjectivefunctions.Input—outputconstraint,energyconsumptionandpollutantemissionareconsidereda

7、sconstraintconditions.Theindustrialstructuresfrom2010tO2014areoptimizedinthedistrict.The●‘■resultsshowthatGDPcanincrease14.78%inthisfiveyears.EnergyconsumptionandpollutantemissionofperGDPdecreasesignificantly.Anuncertainindustrialstructureoptimalcontrolmodelisestablishedbyaddin

8、guncertaininput-outputconstraintintoindustrialstructur

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