我国化工行业对外反倾销经济效应分析——以聚氯乙烯案为例

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1、万方数据AnalysisonEconomicEffectsofAnti-dumpinginChina，SChemicalIndustry-ACaseStudyonPVCAbstractSincetheimplementationofthefirstcaseofanti—dumping，Chinahasmadenewprogressintheaspectsoflegislationandpracticeofanti—dumping，andtheeconomiceffectsofanti-dumpingattractmucha

2、ttention．Thispaperisbasedonthechemicalindustrywhichisanti—dumpingzone，analyzingthetheoryofanti．dumpingeconomiceffectsandusingcasedatatoverifyit·Firstofall，undertheanti．dumpingbackgroundinworld，chinaanddomesticchemicalindustry,thepaperdefinestheconceptofdumpinganda

3、nti-dumpingtofurtherclarifytheresearchsubject．Accordingtotheexistingliteratureofthedifferentfocus，wedivideanti—dumpingeconomiceffectsintotradeeffect，industryeffectandwelfareeffectandsortoutdomesticandforeignrelatedliteraturethroughtheclassification．Secondly，basedo

4、nthepresentsituation，thepaperdescribesandanalyzesthetradestatusandanti．dumpingcasesaboutdomesticchemicalindustry,andfoundsthattheanti·dumpingcaseswithchemicalismainlydistributedintheintermediateproductwithhighaddedvalue，thischaracteristicfitsinthenonsymmetrictrade

5、structure．Atthesametime,ittriestoexploretheteasonswhyChina’Santi．dumpingarefocusedonthechemicalindustryfromthedomesticandintemationalaspects．Again，thepapergivesatheoreticallyanalysisofthevariouseffectofanti-dumping．ItusesGounodgame，prisoner’sdilemmagame，eclecticth

6、eoryofinternationalproductionandthemarginalcostanalysistoexplaintherestrictionsontrade，anti—dumpingtradesubstitutionandtraderetaliation，andanalyzestheinfluenceofanti—dumpingontheindustryanddownstreamindUStriesaccordingtoinput—outputrelationship，explainsthechangesi

7、nthewelfareofanti．．dumpingaccordingtothepartialequilibriummodel．Then，selectthePVCanti．dumpingcasetoanalysisempirically．Throughquantitystatistics，chartanalysis，thepartialequilibriummodel，thepapermeasurestheanti—dumpinginfluenceontrade，industryandwelfareofthePVC，fou

8、ndingthatthecaseisexpectedtobemoreconsistentwiththetheory．First．thetraderestrictioneffect，duringanti—dumpingtaxperiod，thePVCimportsobviouslyfellby40．88％