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1、TheBoundsofReasonThispageintentionallyleftblankTheBoundsofReasonGameTheoryandtheUnificationoftheBehavioralSciencesHerbertGintisPrincetonUniversityPressPrincetonandOxfordCopyrightc2009byPrincetonUniversityPressPublishedbyPrincetonUniversityPress,41WilliamStreet,Princeton,NewJersey08540IntheUn
2、itedKingdom:PrincetonUniversityPress,6OxfordStreet,Woodstock,OxfordshireOX201TWAllRightsReservedLibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationDataGintis,HerbertTheBoundsofReason:GameTheoryandtheUnificationoftheBehavioralSciences/HerbertGintisp.cm.Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex.ISBN978-
3、0-691-14052-0(hardcover:alk.paper)1.Gametheory.2.Practicalreason.3.Humanbehavior.4.Socialsciences–Methodology.5.Psychology.I.Title.HB144.G552009519.3–dc222008036522BritishLibraryCataloging-in-PublicationDataisavailableThepublisherwouldliketoacknowledgetheauthorofthisvolumeforprovidingthecame
4、ra-readycopyfromwhichthisbookwasprintedThisbookhasbeencomposedinTimesandMathtimebytheauthorPrintedonacid-freepaper.press.princeton.eduPrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica10987654321ThisbookisdedicatedtoMorrisandHenriettaMalena,GersonGintis,andFloraandMelvinGreisler.Wegetalongwithoutyouverywell.
5、Ofcoursewedo.Thereisnosorrowsogreatthatitdoesnotfinditsbackgroundinjoy.NielsBohrThispageintentionallyleftblankContentsPrefacexiii1DecisionTheoryandHumanBehavior11.1Beliefs,Preferences,andConstraints41.2TheMeaningofRationalAction61.3WhyArePreferencesConsistent?71.4TimeInconsistency81.5Bayesian
6、RationalityandSubjectivePriors111.6TheBiologicalBasisforExpectedUtility161.7TheAllaisandEllsbergParadoxes161.8RiskandtheShapeoftheUtilityFunction181.9ProspectTheory211.10HeuristicsandBiasesinDecisionMaking262GameTheory:BasicConcepts302.1TheExtensiveForm302.2TheNormalForm332.3MixedStrategies3
7、42.4NashEquilibrium352.5TheFundamentalTheoremofGameTheory362.6SolvingforMixed-StrategyNashEquilibria372.7ThrowingFingers382.8TheBattleoftheSexes382.9TheHawk-DoveGame392.10ThePrisoner’sDilemma402.11Alice,Bob,andtheChoreographer412.12AnEfficiency-Enha