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1、PlayingforRealThispageintentionallyleftblankPlayingforRealATextonGameTheoryKenBinmore120071OxfordUniversityPress,Inc.,publishesworksthatfurtherOxfordUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellenceinresearch,scholarship,andeducation.OxfordNewYorkAucklandCapeTownDaresSalaamHongKongKarachiKualaLump
2、urMadridMelbourneMexicoCityNairobiNewDelhiShanghaiTaipeiTorontoWithofficesinArgentinaAustriaBrazilChileCzechRepublicFranceGreeceGuatemalaHungaryItalyJapanPolandPortugalSingaporeSouthKoreaSwitzerlandThailandTurkeyUkraineVietnamCopyright#2007byOxfordUniversityPress,Inc.PublishedbyOxfo
3、rdUniversityPress,Inc.198MadisonAvenue,NewYork,NewYork10016www.oup.comOxfordisaregisteredtrademarkofOxfordUniversityPressAllrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recordin
4、g,orotherwise,withoutthepriorpermissionofOxfordUniversityPress.LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationDataBinmore,K.G.,1940–Playingforreal:atextongametheory/KenBinmore.p.cm.Includesindex.ISBN978-0-19-530057-41.Gametheory.1.Title.QA269.B4752005519.3—dc222005053938135798642Printed
5、intheUnitedStatesofAmericaonacid-freepaperIdedicatePlayingforRealtomywife,JosephineThispageintentionallyleftblankPrefaceThereareatleastthreequestionsagametheorybookmightanswer:Whatisgametheoryabout?HowdoIapplygametheory?Whyisgametheoryright?PlayingforRealtriestoanswerallthreequesti
6、ons.Ithinkitistheonlybookthatmakesaseriousattempttodosowithoutgettingheavilymathematical.Thereareelementarybooksthatofferstudentstheopportunitytoadmiresomegametheoryconcepts.Therearecookbooksthatrunthroughlotsofappliedmodels.Therearephilosophicalworksthatsupposedlyaddressthefoundat
7、ionalissues,butnoneoftheseaddressmorethantwoofthequestions.However,answeringquestionsisonlypartofwhatthisbookisabout.Justasathletestakepleasureintrainingtheirbodies,sothereisimmensesatisfactiontobefoundintrainingyourmindtothinkinawaythatissimultaneouslyrationalandcreative.Withallof
8、itspuzzlesandparadoxes,gam