[博弈论书籍].modeling.bounded.rationality,ariel rubinstein,the mit press,1998

[博弈论书籍].modeling.bounded.rationality,ariel rubinstein,the mit press,1998

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1、ModelingBoundedRationalityZeuthenLectureBookSeriesKarlGunnarPersson,editorModelingBoundedRationality,ArielRubinsteinModelingBoundedRationalityArielRubinsteinTheMITPressCambridge,MassachusettsLondon,England©1998MassachusettsInstituteofTechnologyAllrightsreserved.Nopartofthi

2、sbookmaybereproducedinanyformbyanyelectronicormechanicalmeans(includingphotocopying,recording,orinformationstorageandretrieval)withoutpermissioninwritingfromthepublisher.ThisbookwassetinPalatinousingVenturaPublisherunderWindows95byWellingtonGraphics.PrintedandboundintheUni

3、tedStatesofAmerica.LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationDataRubinstein,Ariel.Modelingboundedrationality/ArielRubinstein.p.cm.—(Zeuthenlecturebookseries)Includesbibliographicalreferences(p.)andindex.ISBN0-262-18187-8(hardcover:alk.paper).—ISBN0-262-68100-5(pbk.:alk.pap

4、er)1.Decision-making.2.Economicman.3.Gametheory.4.Rationalexpectations(Economictheory)I.Title.II.Series.HD30.23.R83199897-40481153.8′3—dc21CIPContentsSeriesForewordixPrefacexiIntroduction11“Modeling”and“BoundedRationality”12TheAimofThisBook23TheStateoftheArt34APersonalNote

5、55BibliographicNotes51BoundedRationalityinChoice71.1The“RationalMan”71.2TheTraditionalEconomist’sPosition101.3TheAttackontheTraditionalApproach131.4ExperimentalEvidence161.5Comments211.6BibliographicNotes231.7Projects242ModelingProceduralDecisionMaking252.1Motivation252.2P

6、reparingtheTools:SimilarityRelations282.3AProcedureofChoiceBetweenVectors292.4Analysis312.5Case-BasedTheory342.6BibliographicNotes372.7Projects37viContents3ModelingKnowledge413.1KnowledgeandBoundedRationality413.2InformationStructure413.3TheSet-TheoreticalDeªnitionofKnowle

7、dge463.4Kripke’sModel483.5TheImpactoftheTimingofDecisionsandHavingMoreInformation523.6OnthePossibilityofSpeculativeTrade563.7BibliographicNotes603.8Projects614ModelingLimitedMemory634.1ImperfectRecall634.2AnExtensiveDecisionMakingModelwithImperfectInformation644.3Perfectan

8、dImperfectRecall684.4TimeConsistency704.5TheRoleofRandomization754.6TheMultiselvesApproac

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