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1、SAS®forForecastingTimeSeriessecondeditionJohnC.Brocklebank,Ph.D.DavidA.Dickey,Ph.D.Thecorrectbibliographiccitationforthismanualisasfollows:Brocklebank,JohnC.,andDavidA.Dickey.2003.®SASforForecastingTimeSeries,SecondEdition.Cary,NC:SASInstituteInc.®SASforForeca
2、stingTimeSeries,SecondEditionCopyright©2003bySASInstituteInc.,Cary,NC,USAJointlyco-publishedbySASInstituteandWiley2003.SASInstituteInc.ISBN1-59047-182-2JohnWiley&Sons,Inc.ISBN0-471-39566-8Allrightsreserved.PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica.Nopartofthispublicat
3、ionmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,orotherwise,withoutthepriorwrittenpermissionofthepublisher,SASInstituteInc.U.S.GovernmentRestrictedRightsNotice:Use,duplication,ordisclosureofthi
4、ssoftwareandrelateddocumentationbytheU.S.governmentissubjecttotheAgreementwithSASInstituteandtherestrictionssetforthinFAR52.227-19,CommercialComputerSoftware-RestrictedRights(June1987).SASInstituteInc.,SASCampusDrive,Cary,NorthCarolina27513.1stprinting,May2003
5、SASPublishingprovidesacompleteselectionofbooksandelectronicproductstohelpcustomersuseSASsoftwaretoitsfullestpotential.Formoreinformationaboutoure-books,e-learningproducts,CDs,andhardcopybooks,visittheSASPublishingWebsiteatsupport.sas.com/pubsorcall1-800-727-32
6、28.®SASandallotherSASInstituteInc.productorservicenamesareregisteredtrademarksortrademarksofSASInstituteInc.intheUSAandothercountries.®indicatesUSAregistration.Otherbrandandproductnamesaretrademarksoftheirrespectivecompanies.ContentsPreface....................
7、...............................................................................................viiAcknowledgments....................................................................................................ixChapter1OverviewofTimeSeries.................
8、....................................................11.1Introduction11.2AnalysisMethodsandSAS/ETSSoftware21.2.1Options21.2.2HowSAS/ETSSoftwareProceduresInterrelate41.3SimpleModels:
