4 对当前我国财政政策和货币政策的效果的实证分析

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1、对当前我国财政政策和货币政策的效果的实证分析金融11-2贺嘉09114247YibinCityCitytracktrafficplanningisYibincityregionalrangewithintracktrafficsystemofonceintegration,andcitytracktrafficalsoisYibinCityCityintegratedtracktrafficsystemintheofpart,foraccurategraspcitytracktrafficresearchofobject9对当前我国财政政策和货币政策的效果的实证分析自改革开放以来，

2、对我国经济起着主要推动力量的是：消费，财政政策和货币政策。而对于政府的宏观调控来说，财政政策与货币政策更能为政府所控制，从而使之成为国家干预经济的最主要手段。当选择这两种手段时，我们的认真考虑它们的效果如何，以确定两者用量及两者间的比例。基于此，我以下对1978—1999年间的财政政策和货币政策的效果做实证分析。一、实证分析下表资料中，zc代表居民消费，m代表货币与准货币，g代表财政支出，y代表国民生产总值。以y为被解释变量，其余为解释变量，进行回归分析。年份居民消费zc国民生产总值y货币与准货币m财政支出g19781759.13605.61159.11122.0919792005

3、.44073.91458.11281.7919802317.74551.31842.91228.8319812604.14901.42234.51138.4119822867.95489.22589.81229.9819833182.56076.33075.01409.5219843674.57164.44146.31701.0219854589.08797.15198.92004.2519865175.010132.86720.92204.9119875961.211784.08330.92262.1819887633.114704.010990.82491.2119898523

4、.516466.011949.62823.7819909113.218319.515293.73083.59199110315.921280.419349.93386.62199212459.825863.625402.23742.20199315682.434500.634879.84642.30199421230.047110.946923.55792.62199527838.959404.960750.56823.72199633187.969366.076094.97937.55199736117.876077.290995.39233.56199833682.978345

5、.0104499.010798.18199935533.881911.0119898.013187.67YibinCityCitytracktrafficplanningisYibincityregionalrangewithintracktrafficsystemofonceintegration,andcitytracktrafficalsoisYibinCityCityintegratedtracktrafficsystemintheofpart,foraccurategraspcitytracktrafficresearchofobject9DependentVariabl

6、e:YMethod:LeastSquaresDate:10/23/13Time:15:40Sample:19781999Includedobservations:22VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.  C12.589131054.4230.0119390.9906ZC1.6694080.08367019.952380.0000M0.1678360.0771982.1740930.0433G0.2611290.6960970.3751330.7119R-squared0.998933    Meandependentvar277

7、23.87AdjustedR-squared0.998755    S.D.dependentvar27544.15S.E.ofregression971.7583    Akaikeinfocriterion16.75906Sumsquaredresid16997655    Schwarzcriterion16.95743Loglikelihood-180.3496    F-statistic5617.935Durbin-Watsonstat1.791097