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1、对当前人民币汇率问题探讨(DiscussiononthecurrentRMBexchangerate)-Abstract:theRMBexchangerateisahotissuerecently.ThispapermadeamorecomprehensiveoverviewoftheRMBexchangerateofargument,theargumentisdividedintothreecategories:theappreciationoftheRMB,RMBstabletheoryandincreasetheflexibilityofRMBex
2、changeratefluctuationson(RMBappreciationtheory).Thisarticlealsomakesadeepreflectiononsomedeep-seatedproblemsbehindtheRMBexchangeratedebateandputsforwardsomesuggestions.Keywords:RMBexchangerate;appreciation;foreignexchangereservePrefaceInrecentyears,theissueofRMBexchangeratehasbec
3、omethefocusofattentionbothathomeandabroad,andtheinternalandexternalpressureofRMBappreciationhasbeenheatingup.Somedomesticandinternationalmainstreameconomicsmedia,governmentofficialsandfamouseconomistshavejoinedthediscussionoftheRMBexchangerate,theRMBappreciationshouldPublicopinio
4、nsaredivergent.,unabletoagreeonwhichisright.Therearemainlythreekindsofarguments:RMBappreciationtheory,RMBstabilitytheoryandRMBexchangeratefloatingflexibilitytheory(RMBmoderaterevaluationtheory).I.appreciationoftherenminbiRMBappreciationfortheearlierremarks,isaAugust7,2001British"
5、FinancialTimes"onthe"Chinesecheapcurrency";twoistoupgradeinSeptember6,2001"Japaneseeconomicnews"onthe"expectationsofRMBappreciationandChinathreat".Then,inOctober2002MorganchiefeconomistStanleyRoachinthe"Chinesefactor"inthearticle"Chinesetotheworldoutputdeflation"pointofview,think
6、Asianproducersintoday'sglobalizationofproductionenvironment,hasbeenabletoinfluencetheworldcommoditypricelevel,Chineseeconomicexport-orienteddevelopmentstrategy,withlowoutputofgoods,influencethedeflationintheworldismoreandmorebig,isanimportantcauseofglobaldeflation.ThenmanyAsianco
7、untriesespeciallytheJapanesegovernmentofficialsbeganondifferentoccasionshaveurgedtheuproar,theappreciationoftherenminbi.In2002,Japan'sdeputyfinanceministerKurodaHigashihiko(HaruhikoKuroda)andhisdeputyKawaiMasahiro(MasahiroKawai)intheBritish"FinancialTimes"publishedasignedarticle"
8、globalreflationtime";inFebruary22,2003,J