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1、TRADERSThispageintentionallyleftblankTRADERSRisks,Decisions,andManagementinFinancialMarketsMarkFenton-O’CreevyNigelNicholsonEmmaSoanePaulWillman1GreatClarendonStreet,Oxfordox26dpOxfordUniversityPressisadepartmentoftheUniversityofOxford.ItfurtherstheUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellen
2、ceinresearch,scholarship,andeducationbypublishingworldwideinOxfordNewYorkAucklandCapeTownDaresSalaamHongKongKarachiKualaLumpurMadridMelbourneMexicoCityNairobiNewDelhiShanghaiTaipeiTorontoWithofficesinArgentinaAustriaBrazilChileCzechRepublicFranceGreeceGuatemalaHungaryItalyJapanSo
3、uthKoreaPolandPortugalSingaporeSwitzerlandThailandTurkeyUkraineVietnamOxfordisaregisteredtrademarkofOxfordUniversityPressintheUKandincertainothercountriesPublishedintheUnitedStatesbyOxfordUniversityPressInc.,NewYork©OxfordUniversityPress2005Themoralrightsoftheauthorhavebeenassert
4、edDatabaserightOxfordUniversityPress(maker)Firstpublished2005Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,withoutthepriorpermissioninwritingofOxfordUniversityPress,orasexpresslypermittedbylaw,orundertermsagr
5、eedwiththeappropriatereprographicsrightsorganization.EnquiriesconcerningreproductionoutsidethescopeoftheaboveshouldbesenttotheRightsDepartment,OxfordUniversityPress,attheaddressabove.Youmustnotcirculatethisbookinanyotherbindingorcoverandyoumustimposethissameconditiononanyacquirer
6、.BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationDataDataavailableLibraryofCongressCataloginginPublicationDataDataavailableISBN0–19–926948–33579108642TypesetbyNewgenImagingSystems(P)Ltd.,Chennai,IndiaPrintedinGreatBritainonacid-freepaperbyBiddlesLtd.,King’sLynn,NorfolkAcknowledgementsWegra
7、tefullyacknowledgethehelpoftheinvestmentbankswhichcooperatedinthisresearchandprovidedfinancialsupport,andtheEconomicandSocialResearchCouncilwhichprovidedfundingaspartoftheRiskandHumanBehaviourProgramme(grantnumberL211252056).Weareespeciallygratefultothetradersandmanagerswhogaveust
8、heirtimeandsharedtheirunderstanding.This