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ID:11266982
大小:87.00 KB
页数:12页
时间:2018-07-11
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1、FiscalandMonetaryPolicyWhydotheexpertsdisagreeineconomics?Thereareseveralpossiblereasons:·DifferentTimePeriod:Economistsmighthavedifferentopinionsontheeffectofnationalpolicy,andtheymayallbecorrectbecausesomearediscussingasix-monthtimeperiodandtheothersmaybediscussingatwo-yeartimeperiod
2、.·DifferentAssumptions:Inconsideringwhattheproblemisorhowasolutionwillwork,eacheconomistmighthavedifferentbasicassumptions.IfyoubelievethattheGDPwillgrowinthenextfiscalyear,andIdonot,wewouldhavecompletelydifferentideasaboutwhatnationalproblemswilloccurandhowtodealwiththem.·DifferentThe
3、ories:ThereareseveralschoolsofthoughtthateconomistshaveintheMacroeconomicworld.IfoneisaKeynesianandanotherisaClassicalist,theywillhaveverydifferentopinionsonwhatisrightorwrongwiththeeconomyandhowtodealwiththatsituation.·DifferentValues:Someeconomistsmaysharethesameassumptionsandtheorie
4、s,butsomebelievethatinflationisthemostimportantissuethatmustbedealtwith,whiletheothersbelievethatunemploymentisthemostimportantissuefacingtheeconomy.Thesedifferentvalueswouldleadtodifferentopinionsonwhatstepstotake.MonetarismSimilartoClassicaltheory,monetarismismostoftenassociatedwithM
5、iltonFriedman,whoarguedthatKeynesianpolicywasineffectivebecauseofcrowdingoutandcrowdingin.Monetaristsbelievethattheeconomyisstableinthelongrun.Therefore,theFedshouldfollowamonetaryruledesignedtoincreasethemoneysupplybythreetofivepercentperyeartospuramatchingincreaseinGDP.Bydoingthat,th
6、erewillnotbeenoughmoneyflowingthroughtheeconomytosustaininflation,or,inthecaseofarecession,theinjectionofmoneywillincreaseoutputcausingunemploymenttodecrease.SupplySideEconomicsRonaldReagansummedupsupplysideeconomicswithonefamousquote:"Governmentisnottheanswertoyourproblems;Governmenti
7、stheproblem."Whatthepresidentmeantbythisstatementisthatdecadesoftaxingandregulationhadreducedthenation'sabilitytoproduceatmaximumlevelsofefficiency.Economicallyspeaking,thegovernmenthad,bywayoftaxingandregulation,reducedtheaggregatesupplyofthenation—shiftingtheAScurvetotheleft.Theres
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