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时间:2020-03-02
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1、Uniet1l.Onceseenasthebadhabitofanimmatureeconomy,China'smacro-economycontrol(statemeddling)isnowseenasabulwarkofstability."Governmentcontrolofthemostcapital-intensivesectorsleavesmeoptimisticaboutChina'sprospectsM,says…・中国的国家干预曾被视为一个不成熟经济体的坏习惯,如今被视为稳定的防波堤。…安迪•罗斯曼(AndyRothman)表示:“政府控制
2、大部分资本密集型产业,这令我对中国的前景感到乐观。”2.Evenmorefarsightedisthenew,landmarkland-reformprogram,whichwouldmakeitpossibleforChinesepeasantstorentorleasetheirlandtooutsiders・SimplyfiguringoutwhoownswhichpropertiescanbeaByzantinetaskinChina,solandreformcouldtakedecades-buttheideaisalreadygeneratingex
3、citement.InNovember,real-estateconsultingfirmJonesLangLaSalleestimatedthatlandreformcouldunlockruralpropertyworthasmuchas$2.5trillion.LandreformwillbeChina'slastinglegacy/5saysJLLnationalresearchdirectorMichaelKIibane匚Turnningpeasantsintoland・owningconsumerscouldgoalongwaytowardcreat
4、ingaconsumersociety,reducingChina'sdependenceonexports,andrebalancingtheworldeconomy.更具远见的是新的、里程碑式的土地改革计划,让中国农民向外人(包括企业)出租土地或者租用土地成为一•种可能。耍搞清楚中国的财产所有权,可是一个错综复杂的问题,因此十•地改革可能需要数十年时间,但这一•想法已经让人兴奋。让农民变成拥有土地的消费者可以长时期大大推进创造一个消费型的社会,让中国减少对出口的依赖,让世界经济重获平衡。3.OnceChineseleaderssignalanewdirect
5、ion,theyrarelywaver,saysRothman.WitnessthepoliticalbattleoverAmericanchargesthatChinaisdeliberatelyholdingdownthevalueoftheyuantoboostitsexports,achargethatignoresthegradual21.5%riseintheyuanthathadalreadytakenplacebetweenthesummerof2005and2008.Whiletheyuandidfallabitinrecentmonths,m
6、osteconomistsbelieveBeijingwillcontinuetoallowamodestappreciation,weighingitsneedforexportcompetitivenessagainsttheworlcfsneedformorebalancedtradeflows.以推进出口,却看不到在2005年夏天到2008年间人民币逐渐升值21.5%0尽管人民币最近贬值了一些,但大多数经济学家相信北京会继续容许温和的升值,在出口竞争力与惟界对更平衡的贸易流的Unit21.Financialinstitutionsthathadseeme
7、dassolidasgranitedisappearedasiftheywerenomoresubstantialthanabunchofflowersinthehandsofanold-stylemagician.原本坚如磐石的金融机构也消失了,似乎述不如老套的魔术师变的花束看起来真实。2・Asbillionsofpoorpeoplebecomemoreprosperous,theywillbeabletoaffordthecomfortstheircounterpartsintherichworldhavelongconsideredthenormalapp
8、urtenancesof
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