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1、摘要:由于作战过程中不确定因素多,作战行动效果数据表现出显著的随机性。为了探索效果数据背后隐藏的作战规律,基于统计分析的方法研究作战行动效能的评估问题。分析了作战行动及其效能的基本概念,针对增强最简半自治适应性作战神经网络工具箱(enhancedirreduciblesemi-autonomousadaptivecombatneuralsimulationtoolkit,EINSTein)产生的仿真数据采用单次、单组以及多组实验分析的手段,研究进攻行动效果数据的统计特征,发现对于具有作战优势的一方,相比通过增加作战人数而言,提高火力半径能够取得更好的作战效
2、果。在此基础上,提出一种作战行动效能的评估方法,并结合仿真数据进行了验证,从而为基于实际训练效果数据的效能评估提供可行的解决方案。中国论文网 关键词:作战行动;效果数据;EINSTein工具箱;统计;效能评估 中图分类号:TP391.97文献标志码:A ? Effectivenessevaluationmethodbasedonstatisticalanalysisofoperations ? CHENGKai?1?*,ZHANGRui?1,ZHANGHong.jun?1,CHEJun.hui?2 ? 1.EngineeringInstit
3、uteofCorpsofEngineers,PLAUniversityofScienceandTechnology,NanjingJiangsu210007,China ;? 2.NanjingArmyCommandCollege,NanjingJiangsu210045,China Abstract: Theeffectivedataofactionsshowasignificantrandomnessbecauseoflotsofuncertainelementsinthecourseofaction.Inordertoexplorethe
4、rulesofwarfarewhichhidebehindthedata,researchoneffectivenessevaluationproblemsbasedonstatisticalanalysismethod.Analyzethebasicconceptofactionanditseffectiveness.Withthesimulationdataproducedbyenhancedirreduciblesemi.autonomousadaptivecombatneuralsimulationtoolkit(EINSTein),useasin
5、gle,agroupandmultigroupexperimentalmethodstostudythestatisticalcharacteristicsofoffensiveactionsandfindthattoapartywhohasacombatadvantage,comparedwithincreasednumberofpersonnel,theincreasedradiusoffirepowercanachievebetteroperationalresults.Onthisbasis,anevaluationmethodofactionef
6、fectivenessisproposedandvalidatedwithsimulationdata.Soafeasibleresolventisprovidedtoevaluatetheactioneffectivenessbasedonactualcombatdata. Theeffectdataofactionsshowasignificantrandomnessbecauseoflotsofuncertainelementsinthecourseofaction.Inordertoexploretherulesofwarfarehidden
7、behindthedata,theeffectivenessevaluationwasstudiedbasedonstatisticalanalysismethod.Thebasicconceptofactionanditseffectivenesswereanalyzed.Withthesimulationdataproducedbyenhancedirreduciblesemi.autonomousadaptivecombatneuralsimulationtoolkit(EINSTein),asingle,agroupandmultigroupexp
8、erimentalmethodswereusedtostudyth