Capital flows and the risk-taking channel of monetary policy

Capital flows and the risk-taking channel of monetary policy

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时间:2019-07-18

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1、Capitalflowsandtherisk-takingchannelofmonetarypolicyValentinaBrunoa,,HyunSongShinb∗†aAmericanUniversity;bBankforInternationalSettlementsNovember20,2014AbstractAdjustmentsinbankleverageactasthelinchpininthemonetarytransmissionmechanismthatworksthroughfluctuatio

2、nsinrisk-taking.Intheinternationalcontext,wefindevidenceofmonetarypolicyspilloversoncross-borderbankcapitalflowsandtheUSdollarexchangeratethroughthebankingsector.AcontractionaryshocktoUSmonetarypolicyleadstoadecreaseincross-borderbankingcapitalflowsandadeclinei

3、ntheleverageofinternationalbanks.SuchadecreaseinbankcapitalflowsisassociatedwithanappreciationoftheUSdollar.Keywords:Bankleverage,monetarypolicy,capitalflows,risk-takingchannelJELclassification:F32,F33,F34∗Correspondingauthor:HyunSongShin,BankforInternationalSe

4、ttlements,Centralbahnplatz2,CH-4002Basel,Switzerland.†ForthcomingintheJournalofMonetaryEconomics.WearegratefultotheeditorUrbanJermannandtherefereefortheircommentsandguidance.WethankChristopherSims,JohnTaylor,Jean-PierreLandau,GuillaumePlantin,LarsSvenssonand

5、TarekHassanforcommentsonanearlierversionofthispaper.Wealsothankparticipantsatthe2012BISAnnualConference,BankofCanadaAnnualResearchConference,2013and2014AEAmeetingsandpresentationsattheMonetaryAuthorityofSingapore,BankofKoreaandattheCentralBankoftheRepublicof

6、Turkey.WearegratefultoJonathanWallenforhiscapableresearchassistance.Theviewsexpressedherearethoseoftheauthors,notnecessarilythoseoftheBankforInternationalSettlements.Capitalflowsandtherisk-takingchannelofmonetarypolicy11.IntroductionLowinterestratesmaintained

7、byadvancedeconomycentralbankshaveledtoalivelydebateoncross-bordermonetarypolicyspilloversandthepossibletransmissionchannels.Weexamineonesuchchannel:thebankingsector.Banksareintermediarieswhosefinancingcostsarecloselytiedtothepolicyratechosenbythecentralbank.I

8、ffundingcostsaffectdecisionsonhowmuchexposurestotakeon,monetarypolicywillthenaffecttheeconomythroughgreaterrisk-takingbythebankingsector.BorioandZhu(2012)coinedtheterm“risk-takingchannel”ofmonetar

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