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1、Lecture3DiscreteTimeDynamicSystem:aTechnicalPreparationMacroeconomicsWhyDynamicAnalysisisImportant?Wehaveknownthatmacroeconomicsisabouthowmacroeconomicvariablesaredetermined.Inmacroeconomics,suchadeterminationcanoftenbedescribedbyadynamicsystemintermsofeitherdiscretetimeorcontinuoustime.
2、II.TheDiscreteTimeDynamicSystemLetXt,Yt,…,Ztarerespectivelythedifferentvariablesatperiodt.Thentheirdeterminationmightbedescribedbythefollowingdynamicsystem,whichisindiscretetime:II.TheDiscreteTimeDynamicSystemIffunctionf(·),g(·),…,h(·)arealllinear,theabovesystemmaybewrittenaswhereaijand
3、bi(i,j=1,2,…,n)arealltheparameters.II.TheDiscreteTimeDynamicSystemThestandardformofdynamicsystemNotethat(3.1)and(3.2)canberegardedasastandardformofdiscretedynamicsystem.Otherformsofdynamicsystemcanbetransformedintothestandardform(examplesareprovidedinthetextbook)Manytheorems(propositions
4、)toresolvethedynamicsystemisbasedonthestandardform.III.TheSolutionPathandtheSteadyStateThesolutionpathThesolutionofasystemdescribehowthevariableschangeovertimegiventheinitialcondition(X0,Y0,…,Z0).III.TheSolutionPathandtheSteadyStateThesolutionpath(continued)Thegraphicrepresentationofsolu
5、tionpathstXXYIII.TheSolutionPathandtheSteadyStateThesteadystateThesteadystateofsystem(3.1)or(3.2),denotedas(X*,Y*,…,Z*),canbeobtainedbyposingtherestriction:III.TheSolutionPathandtheSteadyStateThesteadystate(continued)Thesteadystatehasthepropertythatifthesolutionpathofthesystemisconverge
6、nt,itmustbeconvergetothesteadystate(seethefollowinggraph)III.TheSolutionPathandtheSteadyStateConvergingtotheSteadyStatetXXYX*X*Y*III.TheSolutionPathandtheSteadyStateThesteadystate(continued)However,thereisnowarrantythatallsolutionwillconvergetothesteadystate(seethefollowinggraph)III.TheSo
7、lutionPathandtheSteadyStateNoConvergingtotheSteadyStatetXXYX*X*Y*III.TheSolutionPathandtheSteadyStateThesteadystate(continued)Thereisnowarrantythatthesteadystateisunique(multiplesteadystatescouldoccur)Thereisalsonowarrantythatthesteadystateevenexists(itcouldbecomple