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1、毕业论文我国物价上涨的影响因素、趋势与对策摘要当前,我国物价持续上涨,通货膨胀压力不断加大,已经成为影响国民经济运行的突出矛盾,稳定物价和控制通货膨胀成为当前宏观调控的首要任务,也是最为紧迫的任务。本文以CPI为指标,研究影响CPI波动的各种因素,包括固定资产投资增长率、原材料价格指数、平均工资指数、农产品生产价格指数、外汇储备等。本文根据中国统计年鉴最近十年的数据,利用多元线性回归分析法研究影响CPI波动的主要因素。研究发现:CPI的变化主要受农产品价格以及原材料、劳动力、土地等成本价格变化的影响。最近几年住房价格大幅上涨的
2、原因就在于劳动力、土地、能源和原材料等成本价格上涨,导致企业成本增加,从而推动房价上涨。另外,在食品方面,以猪肉价格为例,也受到成本上涨的直接影响。文章最后根据结论与当前国内经济形势预测未来住房、食品等主要商品价格水平的发展趋势,并从货币政策、财政政策、市场化改革等方面,提出应对物价上涨和控制通货膨胀的对策,包括控制能源、原材料、土地价格,降低企业成本,同时,控制货币供应量,减少企业税负,提高企业经营利润率,增加企业利润,提高人们的收入水平和实际生活水平。关键字:CPI;通货膨胀;多元线性回归;因素;成本;货币供应Factor
3、saffectingChinatorisingprices,trendsandcountermeasuresAbstractAtpresent,commoditypricesinchinacontinuedtorise,pressuresofinflationarycontinuetoincrease,whichhavebecometheprominentcontradictionsthataffecttherunningofthenationaleconomy.Tostabilizepricesandcontrolinfla
4、tionhasbecometheprimarytaskofmacroeconomicregulationandcontrol,butalsothemosturgenttask.Thisarticle,regardingCPIastheindex,StudythevariousfactorsaffectingtheCPIfluctuations,includingthegrowthrateofinvestmentinfixedassets.rawmaterialspriceindex,theaveragewageindex.pr
5、oducerpriceindexofagriculturalproducts.foreignexchangereserves.weusemultiplelinearregressionanalysistostudythemainfactorsoftheCPIfluctuations,accordingtotheChinaStatisticalYearbookdatainthelastdecade.ThestudyfoundthatthechangesofCPIismainlyaffectedbytheimpactofprice
6、changesofagriculturalproductsandrawmaterials,labor,landandothercosts.Thereasonthathousingpricesrosesharplyinrecentyearsisthatcostoflabor,land,energyandrawmaterialsprices,leadingincreasedcostofdoingbusiness,whichdrivespricesup.Inaddition,thefood,regardingthepriceofpo
7、rkasanexample,butalsobydirectimpactofrisingcosts.Finally,Wepredictthefuturelevelofdevelopmentofhousing,foodandothercommoditypriceswiththecurrentdomesticeconomicsituationaccordingtotheconclusions,andputforwardcountermeasurestocopewithrisingpricesandcontrolinflationfr
8、ommonetarypolicy,fiscalpolicy,market-orientedreforms,Includingenergy,rawmaterials,landprices,reducebusinesscosts,atthesametime,weshouldcon