亚开行：中国是否进入了中等收入陷阱-44页

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1、ADBIWorkingPaperSeriesTHEPEOPLE’SREPUBLICOFCHINAINTHEMIDDLE-INCOMETRAP?LindaGlaweandHelmutWagnerNo.749June2017AsianDevelopmentBankInstituteLindaGlaweisaresearcheratthedepartmentofmacroeconomics,UniversityofHagen.HelmutWagnerisChairinMacroeconomics,FacultyofEconomics,UniversityofHagen.Theviewsex

2、pressedinthispaperaretheviewsoftheauthoranddonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsorpoliciesofADBI,ADB,itsBoardofDirectors,orthegovernmentstheyrepresent.ADBIdoesnotguaranteetheaccuracyofthedataincludedinthispaperandacceptsnoresponsibilityforanyconsequencesoftheiruse.Terminologyusedmaynotnecessarilybeco

3、nsistentwithADBofficialterms.Workingpapersaresubjecttoformalrevisionandcorrectionbeforetheyarefinalizedandconsideredpublished.TheWorkingPaperseriesisacontinuationoftheformerlynamedDiscussionPaperseries;thenumberingofthepaperscontinuedwithoutinterruptionorchange.ADBI’sworkingpapersreflectinitial

4、ideasonatopicandarepostedonlinefordiscussion.ADBIencouragesreaderstoposttheircommentsonthemainpageforeachworkingpaper(giveninthecitationbelow).Someworkingpapersmaydevelopintootherformsofpublication.ADBrecognizes“China”asthePeople’sRepublicofChina;“HongKong”asHongKong,China;and“Korea”astheRepubl

5、icofKorea.Unlessotherwisestated,boxes,figuresandtableswithoutexplicitsourceswerepreparedbytheauthors.Suggestedcitation:Glawe,L.andH.Wagner.2017.ThePeople’sRepublicofChinaintheMiddle-IncomeTrap?ADBIWorkingPaper749.Tokyo:AsianDevelopmentBankInstitute.Available:https://www.adb.org/publications/prc

6、-middle-income-trapPleasecontacttheauthorsforinformationaboutthispaper.Email:linda.glawe@fernuni-hagen.de,helmut.wagner@fernuni-hagen.deAfirstversionofthispaperwaspresentedattheADBI-CASSConference,“TheMiddleIncomeTrapinAsia.”Wewouldliketothankallparticipantsanddiscussantsoftheconferenceaswellas

7、DenisStijepicforhishelpfulcomments.AsianDevelopmentBankInstituteKasumigasekiBuilding,8thFloor3-2-5Kasumigaseki,Chiyoda-kuTokyo100-6008,JapanTel:+81-3-3593-5500Fax:+81-3-3593-5571URL:www.adbi.orgE-mail:info@adbi.org©2017AsianDevelo