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1、GlobalMarketForecastPresentedby:JOHNLEAHYChiefOperatingOfficerCustomersMappingDemand2016-2035GlobalMarketForecast2016:HighlightsGMF2016keynumbersand20-yearchangevs.%changeNewaircraftWorldFleetForecast20152035GMF152015-2035deliveries-RPK(trillions)6.616.0+5.3%142
2、%+500PassengerAircraftFleet18,02037,710+5.5%109%aircraftGMF2016vs.Newpassengeraircraft32,425+650GMF2015deliveriesDedicatedFreighters1,5602,110-21.5%35%Newfreighteraircraftdeliveries645-150Passengeraircraft(≥100seats)TotalNewAircraftDeliveries33,070+500Jetfreight
3、aircraft(>10tons)Source:AirbusGMF201620-yeardemandformorethan33,000newpassengerandfreightaircraftMarketValueof23,530single-aisleaircraft-$5.28,060twin-aisleaircrafttrillion1,480verylargeaircraft33,070newaircraftPassengeraircraft(≥100seats)Jetfreightaircra
4、ft(>10tons)Source:AirbusGMF2016SingleAisle:71%ofunits;Wide-bodies:54%ofvalue20-yearnewdeliveriesofpassengerandfreighteraircraft25,00023,530NewDeliveries-20,00033,07015,000GMF2016-203510,0008,0605,0001,4800SingleAisleTwinAisleVeryLargeAircraft%units71%24%5
5、%Passengeraircraft(≥100seats)andjetfreightaircraft(>10tons)%value46%43%11%Source:AirbusGMF2016PassengertrafficisoutperformingGDPgrowthWorldGDPandpassengertrafficJune2016PassengerTraffic%(year-over-year)+6.2%8%6%4%2%0%WorldGDPWorldpassengertraffic(ASKs)-2%
6、-4%JQ1MQ2MJQ3SQ4NJQ1MQ2MJQ3SQ4NJQ1MQ2MJQ3SQ4NJQ1MQ2MJQ3SQ4NJQ1MQ2MJQ3SQ4NJQ1MMQ2JQ3SNQ4JQ1MMQ2JQ3SNQ4JQ1MMQ2JQ3SNQ4JQ1MMQ2JQ3SNQ4200820092010201120122013201420152016Source:IHSEconomics(realGDP),OAG,AirbusStillatwo-speedeconomicworldComparisonofyear-over-yearGDPg
7、rowthHistoryForecast10%8%Emergingeconomies*6%4%2%Advancedeconomies**0%-2%-4%19821987199219972002200720122017Source:IHSEconomics,Airbus*54emergingeconomies**32advancedeconomiesAirtransportgrowthishighestinexpandingregionsEmerging/DevelopingChinaYearlyRPKgrowthInd
8、ia2016-2035MiddleEast6.2AsiaAfricabillion+5.6%CISpeopleLatinAmerica2015EasternEuropeAdvanced1WesternEurope+3.7%NorthAmericabillionJapanpeople2015Source:IHSEconomics,AirbusGMF2016Middle
