don t let the perfect be the enemy of the good is bad data really bad

don t let the perfect be the enemy of the good is bad data really bad

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页数:8页

时间:2018-02-11

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1、CHAPTER11Don’tLetthePerfectBetheEnemyoftheGood:IsBadDataReallyBad?BrettGoldsteinAsadatascientist,yourgutandyourtrainingtellyoutouseperfectdataforananalysis.Thisisoftenafunctionofclassicalstatisticseducation,withanintenttosubmitresearchandanalysisforpublication.Thisisfineandnoble,butuponencounteringr

2、eal-worlddata,thecoldrealityofdirtydatabecomesprominentandonemustlearntoabandonhopeofperfectionorfaceanendlessloopoffrustration.MywifeSarah,whodidhergraduateworkinpublichealth,hasoftenusedthephrase:“Don’tlettheperfectbetheenemyofthegood.”1Whenconfrontedwithimperfectdata,myclassicaltrainingwouldsayth

3、atthisdataisbeyondhope,thatitiscouldneverbecleanedsufficiently,andthatwewouldbeunabletoobtainanythingthatwastrulymeaningful.However,thisiswherewegettothekeyprinciplethatthisshouldnothavetobeazero-sumdecision.Itisnotgood,norisitbad,butitcertainlyisviable.Howcanweimproveourpoliciesandstrategiesinabsen

4、ceofperfectdata?Ifitdoesn’tmeetthepristinestandardsoftheclassicalapproach,wemustfindwaystomakethedataworksothatitcaninformthecriticaldecisionsthatarenecessarytomoveahead.ButFirst,Let’sReflectonGraduateSchool…Toexplain,Ineedtostepbackintime.Ingraduateschool,Ihadthesameprofessorforallofmystatisticscla

5、sses.Shewasthorough,excellent,andmeticulous.Whileitmaybeeasiertohavesuchkindmemorieslongafterthecoursesended,shetaughtmeagreatdealaboutclassicalstatistics.1.Thisphrase,Ilaterlearned,isanadaptationofaVoltairequote:Lemieuxestl’ennemidubien.143Theprofessortaughteachofthetechniquesinaveryspecificway.The

6、majorityofthetimewouldbespentonpreparingandcleaningthedata.Therewasaremarkablyrig‐orousprocedureandseriesofstepsdependingontheapplicationofthetest.Inordertomaximizethepowerofthegiventechnique,eachofthetestshadarequiredsetofassumptions.Asweworkedthrougheachandeveryoneofthesemethods,shehadusmeticulous

7、lydocumenteachstepofourwork(which,inthiscase,wasinSPSSsyntax).Wewouldsubmitahugeamountofwork,whichshewouldtirelesslycritique.Eachtimewetookapathormadeadecisionthatwasincorrect,shewouldreturnourpileofs

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