Elliott Wave Theory(英文版波浪理论).doc

Elliott Wave Theory(英文版波浪理论).doc

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1、ElliottWaveTheory1.General        TheElliottWaveprinciplewasdiscoveredinthelate1920sbyRalphNelsonElliott.Hediscoveredthatstockmarketsdonotbehaveinachaoticmanner,butthatmarketsmoveinrepetitivecycles,whichreflecttheactionsandemotionsofhumanscausedbyexteriorinfluencesormasspsychology.Elliottcontended,

2、thattheebbandflowofmasspsychologyalwaysrevealeditselfinthesamerepetitivepatterns,whichsubdivideinsocalledwaves.InpartElliottbasedhisworkontheDowTheory,whichalsodefinespricemovementintermsofwaves,butElliottdiscoveredthefractalnatureofmarketaction.ThusElliottwasabletoanalysemarketsingreaterdepth,iden

3、tifyingthespecificcharacteristicsofwavepatternsandmakingdetailedmarketpredictionsbasedonthepatternshehadidentified.Fractalsaremathematicalstructures,whichonaneversmallerscaleinfinitelyrepeatthemselves.ThepatternsthatElliottdiscoveredarebuiltinthesameway.Animpulsivewave,whichgoeswiththemaintrend,alw

4、aysshowsfivewavesinitspattern.Onasmallerscale,withineachoftheimpulsivewavesofthebeforementionedimpulse,againfivewaveswillbefound.Inthissmallerpattern,thesamepatternrepeatsitselfadinfinitum(theseeversmallerpatternsarelabeledasdifferentwavedegreesintheElliottWavePrinciple)2.BasicTheory        Accordi

5、ngtophysicallaw:"Everyactioncreatesanequalandoppositereaction".Thesamegoesforthefinancialmarkets.Apricemovementupordownmustbefollowedbyacontrarymovement,asthesayinggoes:"Whatgoesupmustcomedown"(andviceversa).Pricemovementscanbedividedintotrendsontheonehandandcorrectionsorsidewaysmovementsontheother

6、hand.Trendsshowthemaindirectionofprices,whilecorrectionsmoveagainstthetrend.InElliottterminologythesearecalledImpulsivewavesandCorrectivewaves.TheImpulsewaveformationhasfivedistinctpricemovements,threeinthedirectionofthetrend(I,III,andV)andtwoagainstthetrend(IIandIV).Obviouslythethreewavesinthedire

7、ctionofthetrendareimpulsesandthereforethesewavesalsohavefivewaves.Thewavesagainstthetrendarecorrectionsandarecomposedofthreewaves.Thecorrectivewaveformationnormallyhasthree,insomecasesfiveormoredistinctpric

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