美联储主席耶伦新闻发布会翻译稿(高级笔译).doc

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1、TranscriptofChairYellen’sPressConferenceOpeningRemarksJune15,2016CHAIRYELLEN:Goodafternoon.Today,theFederalOpenMarketCommittee(FOMC)maintainedthetargetrangeforthefederalfundsrateat1/4to1/2percent.Thisaccommodativepolicyshouldsupportfurtherprogresstowardourstatutoryobjectivesofmaximumemploymentan

2、dpricestability.Basedontheeconomicoutlook,theCommitteecontinuestoanticipatethatgradualincreasesinthefederalfundsrateovertimearelikelytobeconsistentwithachievingandmaintainingourobjectives.However,recenteconomicindicatorshavebeenmixed,suggestingthatourcautiousapproachtoadjustingmonetarypolicyrema

3、insappropriate.Asalways,ourpolicyisnotonapresetcourseandiftheeconomicoutlookshifts,theappropriatepathofpolicywillshiftcorrespondingly.Iwillcomebacktoourpolicydecision,butfirstIwillreviewrecenteconomicdevelopmentsandtheoutlook.下午好，今天开放市场委员会保持联邦基准利率在0.25%至0.5%区间。宽松的财政政策将进一步支撑就业最大化和物价稳定的法定目标。基于经济预期

4、，委员会继续认为未来联邦基准利率逐步加息步伐将和各种经济指标目标的实现保持一致。然而，最近的经济指标好坏不一，这表明我们采取谨慎的货币政策是合适的。和往常一样，美联储的政策并不是预定好的，如果经济预期发生转变，适当的政策路径将会相应变化。首先让我回顾一下最近的经济发展和预期，然后回到今天的政策决定。Economicgrowthwasrelativelyweaklatelastyearandearlythisyear.Someofthefactorsweighingongrowthwereexpected.Forexample,exportshavebeensoft,reflecting

5、subduedforeigndemandandtheearlierappreciationofthedollar.Also,activityintheenergysectorhasobviouslybeenhardhitbythesteepdropinoilpricessincemid-2014.Buttheslowdowninotherpartsoftheeconomywasnotexpected.Inparticular,businessinvestmentoutsideofenergywasparticularlyweakduringthewinter,andappearstoh

6、averemainedsointothespring.Inaddition,growthinhouseholdspendingslowednoticeablyearlyintheyeardespitesolidincreasesinhouseholdincomeaswellasrelativelyhighlevelsofconsumersentimentandwealth.Fortunately,thefirst-quarterslowdowninhouseholdspendingappearstohavebeentemporary;indicatorsforthesecondquar

7、terhavesofarpointedtoasizablerebound.ThisrecoveryisakeyfactorsupportingtheCommittee’sexpectationthatoveralleconomicactivitywillexpandatamoderatepaceoverthenextfewyears.Despitelacklustereconomicgrowth,thejobmarketcontinuedtoi