CBO-2018年美国最低工资增长调查（英文）-2019.7.pdf

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1、CONGRESSOFTHEUNITEDSTATESCONGRESSIONALBUDGETOFFICETheEffectsonEmploymentandFamilyIncomeofIncreasingtheFederalMinimumWage2018Dollars16ActualProjected$15Option25thPercentileofWorkers’Wages1210thPercentileofWorkers’Wages$12Option8$10OptionCurrentLawFederalMinimumWage4

2、019731981198919972005201320212029JULY2019AtaGlanceThefederalminimumwageis$7.25perhourformostworkers.TheCongressionalBudgetOfficeexaminedhowincreasingthefederalminimumwageto$10,$12,or$15perhourby2025wouldaffectemploymentandfamilyincome.•Inanaverageweekin2025,the$15o

3、ptionwouldboostthewagesof17 millionworkerswhowouldotherwiseearnlessthan$15perhour.Another10millionworkersotherwiseearningslightlymorethan$15perhourmightseetheirwagesriseaswell.But1.3millionotherworkerswouldbecomejobless,accordingtoCBO’smedianestimate.Thereisatwo-th

4、irdschancethatthechangeinemploymentwouldbebetweenaboutzeroandadecreaseof3.7millionworkers.Thenumberofpeoplewithannualincomebelowthepovertythresholdin2025wouldfallby1.3million.•The$12optionwouldhavesmallereffects.Inanaverageweekin2025,itwouldincreasewagesfor5million

5、workerswhowouldotherwiseearnlessthan$12perhour.Another6millionworkersotherwiseearningslightlymorethan$12perhourmightseetheirwagesriseaswell.Buttheoptionwouldcause0.3millionotherworkerstobejobless.Thereisatwo-thirdschancethatthechangeinemploymentwouldbebetweenaboutz

6、eroandadecreaseof0.8millionworkers.Thenumberofpeoplewithannualincomebelowthepovertythresholdin2025wouldfallby0.4million.•The$10optionwouldhavestillsmallereffects.Itwouldraisewagesfor1.5 millionworkerswhowouldotherwiseearnlessthan$10perhour.Another2millionworkerswho

7、wouldotherwiseearnslightlymorethan$10perhourmightseetheirwagesriseaswell.Theoptionwouldhavelittleeffectonemploymentinanaverageweekin2025.Thereisatwo-thirdschancethatthechangeinemploymentwouldbebetweenaboutzeroandadecreaseof0.1millionworkers.Thisoptionwouldhavenegli

8、gibleeffectsonthenumberofpeopleinpoverty.Thetwomainsourcesofuncertaintyaboutthechangesinemploymentareuncertaintyaboutwagegrowthundercurrentlawand