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1、第14卷第5期地学前缘(中国地质大学(北京);北京大学)Vol.14No.52007年9月EarthScienceFrontiers(ChinaUniversityofGeosciences,Beijing;PekingUniversity)Sep.2007全国重要矿产总量预测方法11223112肖克炎,张晓华,李景朝,杨毅衡,陈建平,丁建华,娄德波,王保良,45叶天竺,张立新11中国地质科学院矿产资源研究所,北京10003721中国地质调查局发展研究中心,北京10008331中国地质大学(北京)
2、,北京10008341中国地质调查局,北京10001151贵州大学,贵州贵阳550003112231XiaoKeyan,ZhangXiaohua,LiJingchao,YangYiheng,ChenJianping,DingJianhua,1245LouDebo,WangBaoliang,YeTianzhu,ZhangLixin11InstituteofMineralResource,ChineseAcademyofGeologicalSciences,Beijing100037,China21D
3、evelopmentandResearchCentreofChinaGeologicalSurvey,Beijing100083,China31ChinaUniversityofGeosciences(Beijing),Beijing100083,China41SeniorConsultationofChinaGeologicalSurvey,Beijing100011,China51GuizhouUniversity,Guizhou550003,ChinaXiaoKeyan,ZhangXiaoh
4、ua,LiJingchao,etal1Quantitativeassessmentmethodfornationalimportantmineralresourcesprog2nosis1EarthScienceFrontiers,2007,14(5):0202026Abstract:Twenty2fivetypesofmineralsandalmostonehundredtypesofdepositshavebeeninvolvedintheprojectofNationalImportantM
5、ineralResourcesPrognosis.Prospectiveareaswillbedelineatedunderdatalev2elof1∶200000scaleandpotentialreserveswillbeevaluatedtosupplytechnicalsupportfornationalresourcesstrategyplanningandprospecting.Coherenttechniquesandmethodsshouldbeusedtoensurethatth
6、eresultsofeachprovinceareatthesamelevel.Basedonsum2upandepuratefromthefirst2andsecond2roundnationalmineralassessment,newdevelopinginminerogeneticseriestheory,minerogeneticdynamictheoryandmulti2informationprognosistheoryhavebeenusedtosupportandimprovet
7、hemethodsforthisroundnationalre2sourcesstrategyplanningandprospecting.Workingflowschemeandrequestshavebeendescribedinthispa2per.Thethinkingandmethodintroducedinthispapercanbeareferencetothegeologistsworkinginthemin2eralassessmentarea.Keywords:mineralr
8、esource;totalreservesevaluating;assessment;quantitativeanalysis;model摘要:全国重要矿产资源评价涉及25种重要矿产的近百种矿床类型,需要在1∶20万尺度水平圈定成矿预测远景区,并科学估算各远景区资源量,为国家矿产资源战略勘查和战略部署提供技术支撑。为了保证预测成果在同一层面上进行全国汇总,制定了全国一致的、标准的技术要求和方法。通过对中国以往一轮、二轮区划预测方法、全国矿产资源总量预测方法及国外最新预测方法的分析和