资源描述：
《CRISIS DETERRENCE IN THE TAIWAN STRAIT台湾海峡地危机威慑.pdf》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在教育资源-天天文库。
1、CRISISDETERRENCEINTHETAIWANSTRAITDouglasMcCreadyNovember2003*****TheviewsexpressedinthisreportarethoseoftheauthoranddonotnecessarilyreflecttheofficialpolicyorpositionoftheDepartmentoftheArmy,theDepartmentofDefense,ortheU.S.Government.Thisreportisclearedforpublicre
2、lease;distributionisunlimited.*****Commentspertainingtothisreportareinvitedandshouldbeforwardedto:Director,StrategicStudiesInstitute,U.S.ArmyWarCollege,122ForbesAve.,Carlisle,PA17013-5244.CopiesofthisreportmaybeobtainedfromthePublicationsOfficebycalling(717)245-41
3、33,FAX(717)245-3820,orbye-mailatRita.Rummel@carlisle.army.mil*****AllStrategicStudiesInstitute(SSI)monographsareavailableontheSSIHomepageforelectronicdissemination.SSI’sHomepageaddressis:http://www.carlisle.army.mil/ssi/*****TheStrategicStudiesInstitutepublishesam
4、onthlye-mailnewslettertoupdatethenationalsecuritycommunityontheresearchofouranalysts,recentandforthcomingpublications,andupcomingconferencessponsoredbytheInstitute.Eachnewsletteralsoprovidesastrategiccommentarybyoneofourresearchanalysts.Ifyouareinterestedinreceivi
5、ngthisnewsletter,pleaseletusknowbye-mailatoutreach@carlisle.army.milorbycalling(717)245-3133.ISBN1-58487-136-9iiPREFACETheU.S.ArmyWarCollegeprovidesanexcellentenvironmentforselectedmilitaryofficersandgovernmentcivilianstoreflectandusetheircareerexperiencetoexplore
6、awiderangeofstrategicissues.ToassurethattheresearchdevelopedbyArmyWarCollegestudentsisavailabletoArmyandDepartmentofDefenseleaders,theStrategicStudiesInstitutepublishesselectedpapersinitsCarlislePapersinSecurityStrategySeries.Inthispaper,Chaplain(Colonel)DouglasMc
7、CreadyexaminesthemostvolatileissueofthecomplexrelationshipbetweentheUnitedStatesandthePeople’sRepublicofChina―Taiwan.Heconsidersthesituationintermsofdeterrencetheoryanditsapplicationacrosscultures.ColonelMcCreadylooksattheperceptionsandmisperceptionsoftheinvolvedp
8、arties;andtheirinterests,capabilities,andpossibleintentions.HeconcludeswithcoursesofactionandwaystoincreasethelikelihoodofsuccessfulU.S.deterrenceintheT
