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1、浅析丙烯酸丁酯下游的现状及发展摘要:国内丙烯酸和丙烯酸丁酯市场延续跌势。自6月份以来国内丙烯酸丁酯跌至成本线下,国内工厂亏损严重,部分装置降低负荷或停车应对亏损,本月兰化、台塑、宏信、万州等装置停车应对,而其丙烯酸装置均运行正常,在此影响下国内工厂丙烯酸整体供应充足。虽上旬行业会议召开然难掩市场颓势,市场跌势难抑。本月国内工厂对外报盘走低,市场人士观望气氛浓厚,市场商谈重心下行为主,市场低价增多。国内经济增速放缓,下游终端用户需求难有实质性改善,开工负荷未有提升,需求低迷制约下去库存过程缓慢,丙烯酸及酯市场供需矛盾突出,市场弱势维持。目前部分工厂降负荷甚至停车现象
2、增多,而丙烯酸及酯市场供需矛盾相对突出,短期内弱势难改。而近期宏观面利空因素作用,化工大市场整体表现弱势。再加上进入11月天气转冷,传统的需求淡季影响或将加重,下游需求难有实质性改善,市场疲弱走势或将延续。本文通过对丙烯酸丁酯下游的基本信息和市场行情进行分析,找到市场的必然趋势,以此规避波动的市场所带来的负面影响,正确应对市场带来的挑战,使企业和工厂都能得到双赢。关键字:丙烯酸丁酯;下游;市场;现状;发展AnalysesthepreserrtsituationanddevelopmentofdownstreamofbutylacrylateAbstract:Dom
3、esticmarketcontinueddropaeryIicacidandbuty丨aeryIate.SinceJunedomesticbutylaeryIatefelItoofflinecost,lossseriousdomesticfactories,partofthelowerIoadorparkingagainstlosses,thismonthLanHua,FormosapIastics,suchasmacroletter,wanzhouparkingdevice,andthenormaIoperationofaeryIicdeviceare,inth
4、eaeryIicoveraIIsuppIyundertheinfIuenceoffactoriesathome.ThoughearIyindustryconferencecannothidemarketweakness,markettrend.ThismonthdomesticfactoriesofferIower,marketswait-and-seeatmosphere,themarketaboutthecenterofgravitydownwardisgivenpriorityto,themarketpriceincrease.Domesticeconomi
5、cgrowthisslowing,thedownstreamenduserstodemandasubstantialimprovement,constructionloaddidnotascend,depresseddemandrestrictiononinventoryprocessisslow,aeryIicacidandestermarkettheobviouscontradictionbetweensuppIyanddemand,marketvulnerabIetomaintain.NowpartofthepIantloadincrease,evenpar
6、kingandaeryIicacidandestermarketreIativeIyprominentcontradictionbetweensuppIyanddemand,weakhardtochangeintheshortterm.Therecentnegativeeffect,themacroscopicIeveIofoveraIIperformancemarketweakness.PIusintothecoldweatherinNovember,thedemandofthetraditiona丨off-seasonimpactorwiIIincrease,
7、thedownstreamdemandisdifficulttohaveasubstantialimprovement,marketweaknessorwiIIcontinue.ThisarticlethroughtothebasicinformationofthedownstreamofbutylaeryIateandmarketanaIysis,findtheinevitabletrendofthemarket,inordertoavoidnegativeimpactbroughtbythefIuctuationofmarket,correctlydeaIwi
8、ththe