股票外汇技术分析解析英文版ppt (24).ppt

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1、STEPTHREE:GETYOURTIMINGRIGHTWithtechnicalanalysis,timingisthecriticalsuccessfactor.TechnicalAnalysisservestodetermine"whentobuyorwhentosell"shares.Itisconcernedwiththeuseofgraphstostudyhistoricalpriceandvolumepatternsinordertopredictthefuturecourseofshareprices.Itdeterminesthe'optimumtimeto

2、buyandsellshares'asopposedtothe"intrinsicvalue'ofshares.Step3:GetyourTimingRightTECHNICALANALYSISDEFINEDTechnicalAnalysisdiscountsfundamentalfactorsandthesefundamentalsarereflectedinthepriceandvolume.Priceisdeterminedbysupplyanddemand,whilevolumeisdeterminedbycommitmenttosupplyanddemand.Pri

3、ceandvolumeformtrendsandthesetrendsformpatterns.Theanalyst'sjobistoidentifythesepatternsforfuturebuyingandsellingopportunities.Thekeyassumptionuponwhichtechnicalanalysisisbasedisthatthesumofeverythingthateveryoneknowsorfeelsaboutashare,sectorormarketisreflectedinthepriceandvolume.Pricesmove

4、whenthereisachangeinthefeelingorwhennewknowledgebecomesavailable.Technicalanalysisisthestudyoftheshare'spriceandvolumecharttosearchforhistoricalpatternswhichmayhelptopredictthefuturepricepatterns.PRICE&VOLUMEFACTORSAnup-trend-therearemorebuyersthansellers(i.e.demandexceedssupply);Adown-tren

5、d-therearemoresellersthanbuyers(i.e.supplyexceedsdemand);Asidewaystrend-thereisabattleforsupremacybetweenthebuyersandsellers(i.e.supplyanddemandareequal).Sharepricesmoveinaseriesofpeaksandtroughs.Thedirectionofthosepeaksandtroughsdeterminethedirectionor"trend"ofthemarket.Therearethreekindso

6、ftrend,namely:MARKETTRENDSOvertheyears,technicianshavedevisedanumberofdifferentwaysofphysicallyrepresentingmarketdataoncharts.Themostpopularchartsaretheclosinglinechartanthebarchart.USEFULTIPSItmustberememberedthatnoindicatorshouldbeusedalone.Alwaysputa10-daymovingaverageonallyourtechnicali

7、ndicatorsasfurtherconfirmation.Wesuggestthatyoustartbyusingthesefewtechnicalindicatorsdiscussedbelowasastartingpoint.Closinglinecharts-Theclosinglinechartisthesimplestpricecharttoreadandrepresentstherelationshipbetweentimeandprice.Itisusedinconjunctionwi