黑龙江垦区农业碳排放影响因素研究.pdf

黑龙江垦区农业碳排放影响因素研究.pdf

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时间:2020-03-05

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1、AbstractGlobalwarmingisacurrentenvironmentalproblemthatcan’tbeignored.Populationincrease,rapideconomicdevelopmentandenergyconsumptionrisingcausestheecologicalenvironmentisdeteriorated.Foralongtime,agricultureasanimportantpartofthenationaleconomyasksforthehugede

2、mandforenergyandmaterials.Howevertheexistingagriculturaldevelopmentpattern,basically,reliesontheconsumptionofresourceinexchangeforeconomicgrowthresultinginshortageofwaterresources,declineinthequalityofarablelandandotherissues,reduceagricultureemissionshasbecome

3、theagriculturaldevelopmentisurgentlyneeded.Facingthescarcityofresourcesandecologicalenvironmentworsening,asanimportanteconomyoffoodsupply,toreducecarbonemissionsinagriculture,developmentoflowcarbonagricultureinHeilongjiangreclamationareaisaninevitablechoice.Res

4、earchontheselectionofmainagriculturalgoodsandmaterialsconsumption,themechanicalenergy,powerconsumption,rice,ruminantsandsoon,tenagriculturalcarbonemissionsources,calculatedtheagriculturalareasandagriculturalcarbonemissionsduring2000-2012.Resultsshowthatagricult

5、uralcarbonemissionsofHeilongjiangprovinceisincreasingyearbyyear,andtheaverageannualgrowthrateisashighas7.49%,butpresentdowntrendperunitofGDPcarbonemissionswiththeaverageannualdeclinerateof8.11%suggestingthatagriculturalareasinthelowcarbonagriculturaldevelopment

6、hasbeenmadecertainachievements.Intheagriculturalcarbonemissions,rice,fertilizer,dieseloilandruminantscattleproducemorecarbonemissions.Basedontheresultsofcalculationofcarbonemissions,qualitativeanalysisontheinfluencefactors,theexplorationonpolicyfactors,grainyie

7、ldfactors,thetechnicallevelofagriculturalproduction,andagriculturalindustrialstructurefactors,ithasbeenfoundthosehaveinfluenceofdifferentdegreeinagriculturalcarbonemissionslevels.FinallybythemethodofmultipleLinearregressiontoempiricallytesttheimpactoffactors,th

8、eresultsshowthatgrainyieldfactorofcarbonemissionsismostsignificant,thattheagriculturalcarbonemissionsproveapositivepromotingrole,themainreasonisthatthepursuitoffoodproductio

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