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1、AnalysisofChina’sBoP1.TheconditionofChina’sinternationalbalanceofpaymentsIn2015,therearesomenewchangesinChina'sinternationalbalanceofpayments.Itchangesfrom"doublesurplus"to"onesurplusandonedeficit"whichthereissurplusincurrentaccount,andthereisdeficit
2、incapitalandfinancialaccount(excludingreserveassets).1.1Thesurplusincurrentaccountincreasedtobenearlythreehundredbilliondollars.In2015,thecurrentaccountsurplusis$293.2billion,increased33%overthelastyear.ThecurrentaccountsurplustoGDPratiowas2.7%,itwas
3、2.1%in2014.Goodstradesurpluscreateahighrecord.In2015,thebalanceofpaymentscalibergoodstradesurplusis$578.1billion,increased33%overthelastyear.Amongthem,thegoodstradeincomeis$2.145trillion,decreasedby4%;expenditureis1.5669trillionUSdollars,decreasedby1
4、3%.Tradeinservicescontinuedtoshowadeficit.In2015,servicestradedeficitis$209.4billion,increase39%overthelastyear.Tradeinservicesincomeis$230.4billion,decreasedby1%;expenditureis$439.7billion,increased15%overthelastyear.Thetravelserviceprojectisthelarg
5、estoneintradedeficit.In2015,thedeficitis$195billion,increased81%overthelastyear,becauseofstrongneedsofoverseasstudy,tourism,shoppingandotherspendingneeds.Primaryincomedeficitisenlarged.In2015,primaryincomedeficitis$59.2billion,increased74%overthelast
6、year.Income$230.1billion,increased8%;spending$289.3billion,increased17%.MainlybecauseofthelargeamountofdirectinvestmentinChina,andthegrowthrateofthespendingoninvestmentishigherthantherateofChina’sforeigndirectinvestmentincome.Secondaryincomedeficitis
7、narrowed.In2015,secondaryincome(formerlyknownascurrenttransfers)deficitis$16.3billion,comparedwithlastyeardecreased46%.Incomeis$37.9billion,decreased8%;spendingis$54.2billion,decreased24%.1.2金融账户呈现逆差。2015年，我国非储备性质的金融账户逆差5044亿美元（包含第四季度的净误差与遗漏，实际数据预计会小
8、于该数据）。其中，直接投资净流入有所下降。2015年，直接投资净流入771亿美元，较上年下降63%。一方面，对外直接投资净流出1671亿美元，较上年增长108%，说明因“一带一路”战略不断推进，境内企业看好境外投资前景，“走出去”步伐不断加大。另一方面，来华直接投资仍呈现净流入2442亿美元，虽较上年下降16%，但总的来看，境外投资者仍看好我国的长期投资前景，来华直接投资净流入规模仍然较大。1.2financialaccountsshowadeficit.By2015,China'snon-re
