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时间:2020-01-10
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1、ProbabilityExamMay2016SyllabuswithLearningObjective/OutcomesandReadingsTheProbabilityExamisathree-hourexamthatconsistsof30multiple-choicequestionsandisadministeredasacomputer-basedtest.Thepurposeofthesyllabusforthisexaminationistodevelopknowledgeofthefundamentalprobabilitytools
2、forquantitativelyassessingrisk.Theapplicationofthesetoolstoproblemsencounteredinactuarialscienceisemphasized.Athoroughcommandofthesupportingcalculusisassumed.Additionally,averybasicknowledgeofinsuranceandriskmanagementisassumed.Atableofvaluesforthenormaldistributionisavailableb
3、elowforcandidatestodownloadandwillbeincludedwiththeexamination.Sincethetablewillbeincludedwiththeexamination,candidateswillnotbeallowedtobringcopiesofthetableintotheexaminationroom.ChecktheUpdatessectiononthisexam’shomepageforanychangestotheexamorsyllabus.Therangesofweightsshow
4、nareintendedtoapplytothelargemajorityofexamsadministered.Onoccasion,theweightsoftopicsonanindividualexammayfalloutsidethepublishedrange.Candidatesshouldalsorecognizethatsomequestionsmaycovermultiplelearningoutcomes.Eachmultiple-choiceproblemincludesfiveanswerchoicesidentifiedby
5、thelettersA,B,C,D,andE,onlyoneofwhichiscorrect.Candidatesmustindicateresponsestoeachquestiononthecomputer.Aspartofthecomputer-basedtestingprocess,afewpilotquestionswillberandomlyplacedintheexam(paperandpencilandcomputer-basedforms).Thesepilotquestionsareincludedtojudgetheireffe
6、ctivenessforfutureexams,buttheywillnotbeusedinthescoringofthisexam.Allotherquestionswillbeconsideredinthescoring.Allunansweredquestionsarescoredincorrect.Therefore,candidatesshouldanswereveryquestionontheexam.Thereisnosetrequirementforthedistributionofcorrectanswersforthemultip
7、le-choicepreliminaryexaminations.Itispossiblethataparticularanswerchoicecouldappearmanytimesonanexaminationornotatall.Candidatesareadvisedtoanswereachquestiontothebestoftheirability,independentlyfromhowtheyhaveansweredotherquestionsontheexamination.SincetheCBTexamwillbeofferedo
8、veraperiodofafewdays,eachcandidatewillreceiveatestform
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