全球气温与CO2 排放量关系模型

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1、全球气温与CO2排放量关系模型华东师范大学陈雨琪、董妍、陈湉目录摘要............................................................................................................................11引言......................................................................................................

2、...................22全球气温ARIMA模型.......................................................................................32.1数据检验及处理............................................................................................32.1.1数据平稳性检验.............................

3、.....................................................32.1.2数据非白噪声检验..............................................................................52.1.3数据正态性和方差齐性检验..............................................................52.2模型的建立及检验...........................

4、.............................................................52.2.1模型定阶及参数的估计......................................................................62.2.2残差的随机性和正态性检验..............................................................72.3全球气温的预测..........................

5、..................................................................93全球气温与CO2排放量LREG-FARIMA模型................................................103.1CO2排放量与全球温度LREG模型建立及协整关系的检验.................103.1.1CO2排放量与全球温度LREG模型建立.......................................103.1.2CO2

6、排放量与全球温度协整关系检验...........................................133.2回归残差FARIMA(1,0.44,2)模型建立......................................................143.2.1回归残差FARIMA(1,0.44,2)模型建立............................................143.2.2FARIMA模型残差{}e的白噪声检验.......................

7、.....................15t3.3基于LREG-FARIMA(1,0.44,2)模型的全球温度的预测..........................174CO2排放量IGARCH(1,1)-skewt模型.............................................................184.1数据预处理及模型识别..........................................................................

8、....194.1.1数据处理............................................................................................194.1.2模型识别..................................