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1、中东局势分析(AnalysisofthesituationintheMiddleEast)Eveninthe1982invasionofLebanonWar(alsoknownastheFifthMiddleEastWarFight).TheArabIsraeliconflicthasenteredaconflictandnegotiationintertwined,theupsanddownsofstruggleThestageofstrategicstalemate・Intheearlyperiodofthisstage,ArabiaisstillinastatetorushThema
2、inaspectsofconflictsinthelatepartofIsraeltranslocation,graduallybecomeacontradictionThemainaspectsofthedevelopmentprocess,leadingtheconflict.Thethreestage,apoliticalsolutiontotheArabIsraeliconflict(sincethebeginningof90s)・In1991InOctobertheMiddleEastpeaceconferenceheldinMadridasasymbol,theArabIsra
3、eliconflictinpoliticsTosolvethestage・0tobothrecognizethewarandconfrontationcannotsolvetheArabIsraeliconflict,fromThetwosideshavetheconflictdegreechangeofpositionofdifferentcountriestofurtherArabiaThatmayonthebasisoftheUNresolutionsandtheprincipleoflandforpeacetoresolvetheconflict,Israeliswillingto
4、"conditional〃negotiations.AlthoughasmallconflicthascontinuedtoHowever,alarge-scalewarfactorshavebeensignificantlyreduced,especiallyastheArabIsraeliconflict・ThemainaspectsofShield-IsraelistrategyinAfghanistan,tobecomethepoliticalsolutiontotheconflictThemainmelodyofastageMadridwillstarttheMiddleEast
5、andtheMiddleEastpeaceprocessisnotoEmergencystrategyadjustmentonbothsides,buttheArabIsraeliconflictintothethirdstageofthedevelopmentoflogicExhibition・Therefore,thegeneraltrendisirreversible・AgeneralstrategyofIsraelInthelong-termconflict,struggle,developmentofWestcornerofthecountrybyIsraeltobecomeTh
6、eMiddleEastcountry,especiallyitsallianeewiththeUnitedStatesdiplomaticstrategythatitscomprehensivenationalstrength"Expansion",changedthepastpassivesituation,tobecomeamainconflictOnonehand,playsaleadingroleintheMiddleEastpeaceprocess・Therefore,theanalysisofIsraelArabia，soverallstrategyhasaveryimport
7、antsignificancetograspthetrendoftheMiddleEastpeaceprocess・Fromthecomparisonofpower,onbothsides,Arabiastate(onthewhole)farFarmorethanIsrael,Israelisatadisadvantage・ButifeveryArabiaComparedwiththecountrieswithIsrae
