人口踩踏模型

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1、数学建模Analysisofincrowdedstampedeaccidentoflarge-scaleactivitiesAbstractTosolvetheproblemofcrowdedstampedeaccidentoflarge-scaleactivitiesinChina.Firstwewillsolveourproblem.Howtoreducecrowdedstampedeaccidentoflarge-scaleactivitiesinChina?Wethroughmethodoffuzzysyntheticevalua

2、tionofcrowdedstampedeaccidentoflarge-scaleactivitiesinChinatosolvewhyaccidentincrowdedstampede.Establishmentcomprehensiveevaluationofcrowdedstampedeaccidentoflarge-scaleactivitiesbasedonFuzzyComprehensiveEvaluationModel.Fuzzycomprehensiveevaluationmethodisgivenwhenpublicp

3、lacesaretoomanypeopleinastampedeofprobability,theformingconditionsthattheanalysis.Besideswewillmodel2buildingstosettlementit.Ontheonehand,wechoosethenormaldistribution,manycrowdedstampedeaccident’spopulationisfollownormaldistribution,sowedecidetochooseit.Thenpeoplefollowu

4、niformdistribution,suchasschool,supermarket,hospitalandbus.It’salwaysbeinginourlife.model2solvepeopleincrowdedstampedeaccidentoflarge-scaleactivitiesdistribution.Lastmodelabuildingaboutgeneticalgorithm.Westudyaboutmanycrowdedstampedeaccident’spopulationisfollownormaldistr

5、ibution,whywedon’tchoosecrowdedstampedeaccident’spopulationisfollowuniformdistribution?Becausecrowdedstampedeaccident’spopulationisfollowuniformdistributionhardlyhaveCasualties,wedon’tchooseit.Wethroughgeneticalgorithm,findarelationthatpopulationdensitydecline,sowemakeaeq

6、ualdensitycontouraboutpopulationdensity.What’smore,wethroughequaldensitycontourcalculation.Findingmaximumcoverageaboutchannels.Solvinghowtomakepeopleleaveplacesoonest.model4couldestimationofpopulationdistribution,thenkeydepartmentcandecidetokeymeasuresthatToimpedetheforce

7、ormovementofcrowdedstampedeaccidentoflarge-scaleactivities.第12页数学建模symbolicsolutionpopulationfactorindex（）environmentalqualityobjective（）physicalindex（）informationfactors（）transportationfactor.（）membershipmatrixgenecoding1introductionCrowdsswarminginsuchaconfinedspacewill

8、comeintoconflictwithcrowdsswarming.Soweshouldbuildaprogrammerforemergencypreventionandpreparedne