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1、2009globalpvCellandModuleproduCtionanalysisSHYAMMeHtA
2、GtMReSeARcHGtMReSeARcHNoteGTMRESEARCHMAY2010GTMRESEARCHMAY20102009PVPRoductioN:anotHerbuMperyearForManuFaCturingMaskssupplierturMoilThisnotediscussestheresultsofGTMResearch’sannualdatacollectionprocessforglobalphotovoltaic(PV)cellandmodulepr
3、oductionin2009.Overall,2009wasthemostchallengingyearforPVsuppliersinrecentmemory,withsevereinitialoversupply(exacerbatedbytheevaporationofSpainasamarketofanyconsequenceandthelossofprojectfinancing)anddrasticpricedrops.Thisconsequentlyledtolargelosses,majorlayoffs,andthefirstwaveofconsolidationa
4、crosstheentirevaluechain.Atthesametime,2009wasanotherrecord-breakingyearfortheglobalPVindustry,withover7GWofmodulesinstalled,totalmoduleproductionof8.95GW,andcellproductionof10.66GW–a51%increaseover2008cellproductionof7.05GW(itselfan88%increaseover2007).Ashasbeenwell-documented,thebulkofthesemo
5、dulesendedupbeingdeployedinGermanyinthethirdandfourthquartersof2009,withexistingyear-enddigressions,thethreatofmoreseverecuts,andmodulepricedeclines(from$4.00perwattinmid-2008to$2.00perwattbytheendof2009)alldoingtheirparttodriveanunprecedentedinstallationvolumeof1.3GWinthelastquarteroftheyear.W
6、hereasinJanuary,topmanufacturerswerereportedlyrunningatutilizationsofbelow25%,OctoberthroughDecemberwitnessedthembeingcapacity-constrained.Tocallitavolatileyearwouldbeanunderstatementofsorts.CoPYRiGHT2010,GREEnTECHMEdiAinCAllRiGHTSRESERvEd2009CEllAndModulEPRoduCTion2GTMRESEARCHMAY20101teCHnolog
7、ytrends:tHinFilMgainssHareoFFtHebaCkoFFirstsolarCrystallinesilicon(c-Si)PVcellproductionin2009was8.02GW,a42%increaseover2008:asdiscussedbelow,themajorityofthesecellsweremanufacturedinthelow-costlocationsofChinaandTaiwan.Totalc-Simoduleproductionin2009was6.3GW.Overall,crystallinesiliconstilldomi
8、natesthePVtechnologylandscape,withacellproductionshareof81%andamoduleproductionshareof78%:forcells,thisbreaksintoa75%sharefor“plainvanilla”mono-andmulticrystallinecells,anda6%shareforhigh-efficiency“super”monocrystallinecellsmadeb
