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1、LectureNotesinStatistics144EditedbyP.Bickel,P.Diggle,S.Fienberg,K.Krickeberg,I.Olkin,N.Wennuth,S.ZegerSpringerNewYorkBerlinHeidelbergBarcelonaHongKongLondonMilanParisSingaporeTokyoL.MarkBerlinerDouglasNychkaTimothyHoar(Editors)StudiesintheAtmosphericSciences,S
2、pringerL.MarkBerlinerDouglasNychkaDepartmentofStatisticsNationalCenterforAtmosphericResearchOhioStateUniversityP.O.Box3000Columbus,OH43210Boulder,CO80307-3000TimothyHoarNationalCenterforAtmosphericResearchP.O.Box3000Boulder,CO80307-3000LibraryofCoDgl"eSsCatalo
3、ging-in-PublicstionDataStudiesintheatmosphericscience~Ieditors,L.MarkBerliner,DouglasNychka,TimothyHoar.p.em.--(Lecturenotesinstatistics;144)Includesbibliographicalreferenoesandindex.ISBN-13:978·0·387·98757-6e-ISBN-13:978-1-4612-2112-8DOl:10.1007/978-1-4612-21
4、12·8I.Atmosphericphysics-Mathematicalmodels.2.Atmosphericphysics--Statisticalmethods.3.Geophysics--Mathematicalmodels.I.Berliner,L.Mark.ll.Nychka,Douglas.ill.Hoar,Timothy.IV.Lecturenotesinstatistics(Springer-Verlag);v.144.QC861.2.S782000551.5-dc2I99-052678Prin
5、tedonacid-freepaper.@2000Springer-VerlagNewYork,Inc.Allrightsreserved.Thisworkmaynotbetranslatedorcopiedinwholeorinpartwithoutthewrittenpennissionofthepublisher(Springer-VerlagNewYork,Inc.,175FifthAvenue,NewYork,NY10010,USA),exceptforbriefexcerptsinconnectionw
6、ithreviewsorscholarlyanalysis.Useinconnectionwithanyfonnofinfonnationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdevelopedisforbidden.Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,tradenames,trademarks,etc.,
7、inthispublication,evenifthefonnerarenotespeciallyidentified,isnottobetakenasasignthatsuchnames,asunderstoodbytheTradeMarksandMerchandiseMarksAct,mayaccordinglybeusedfreelybyanyone.Camerareadycopyprovidedbytheeditors.98765432IISBN-13:978-0-387-98757-6SPIN107108
8、35PrefaceTheNationalCenterforAtmosphericResearch(NCAR)inBoulder,Colorado,isamajorinstitutionperformingresearchintheenvironmentalsciences.Afteranopencompetition,theNationalScienceFo