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1、AGRICULTUREANDCLIMATEBEYOND2015ANewPerspectiveonFutureLandUsePatternsENVIRONMENT&POLICYVOLUME46Thetitlespublishedinthisseriesarelistedattheendofthisvolume.AgricultureandClimateBeyond2015ANewPerspectiveonFutureLandUsePatternsEditedbyFloorBrouwerLEI,WageningenUR,TheHague,TheNetherlandsandBr
2、uceA.McCarlDepartmentofAgriculturalEconomics,TexasA&MUniversity,CollegeStation,Texas,U.S.A.AC.I.P.CataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheLibraryofCongress.ISBN-101-4020-4063-6(HB)ISBN-13978-1-4020-4063-4(HB)ISBN-101-4020-4368-6(e-book)ISBN-13978-1-4020-4368-0(e-book)PublishedbySpring
3、er,P.O.Box17,3300AADordrecht,TheNetherlands.www.springer.comLogosusedwithpermissionfromIGBP,IHDPandLUCCPrintedonacid-freepaperAllRightsReserved©2006SpringerNopartofthisworkmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmittedinanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,microf
4、ilming,recordingorotherwise,withoutwrittenpermissionfromthePublisher,withtheexceptionofanymaterialsuppliedspecificallyforthepurposeofbeingenteredandexecutedonacomputersystem,forexclusiveusebythepurchaserofthework.PrintedintheNetherlands.ContentsContributorsixListofabbreviationsxvPrefacexv
5、ii1.Introduction1FloorBrouwerandBruceA.McCarlPart1:Settingthescene2.Agriculture,climateandfuturelandusepatterns:potentialforasimulation-basedexploration5PeterH.VerburgandJanPeterLesschen3.Technologydevelopmentandclimatechangeasdriversoffutureagriculturallanduse33FrankEwert,MarkRounsevell,
6、IsabelleReginster,MarcMetzgerandRikLeemans4.Agriculturaltransitionsatdrylandandtropicalforestmargins:actors,scalesandtrade-offs53HelmutGeist,EricLambin,CherylPalmandThomasTomichPart2:Casesonfuturelanduse5.Worldlivestockandcropproductionsystems,landuseandenvironmentbetween1970and203075LexB
7、ouwman,KlaasvanderHoek,GerardvanDrechtandBasEickhout6.AgriculturalchangeandlimitstodeforestationinCentralAmerica91DavidCarr,AlissonBarbieri,WilliamPanandHeideIranavivviContents7.Risingfooddemand,climatechangeandtheuseoflandandwater109HermannLotze-Campen,ChristophMül
