China's growing CO2 emissions-a race between consumption and efficiency gains

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1、PolicyAnalysisChina'sGrowingCOlargesectionsofthepopulationexperiencingatransition2EmissionssAoutofpovertyandtowardconsumeristlifestyles(6).However,RacebetweenIncreasingtheeconomicachievementshaverequiredsignificantnaturalresourcesinputs.Between1990and2004China'stotalenergyConsumptionandEfficiencyGai

2、nsconsumptionhasgrown5.0%annuallyfrom18EJ(1018J)to58EJ(7),andCO2emissionsgrewby4.8%peryearfrom1446millionmetrictons(MMT)to4707MMT(8).GLENP.PETERS,*,²³Inaglobalcontext,Chinaisthesecond-largestcontributorCHRISTOPHERL.WEBER,DABOGUAN,§ANDKLAUSHUBACEK§toCO2emissions,emitting17%ofglobalCO2in2004,upfrom8%i

3、n1980(8).Chinaispredictedtobecometheworld'sIndustrialEcologyProgramme,NorwegianUniversityoflargestemitterbyasearlyas2009(9).UnderstandingthekeyScienceandTechnology,NO-7491Trondheim,Norway,driversbehindChina'sgrowingenergyconsumptionandEngineeringandPublicPolicyandCivilandEnvironmentalassociatedemiss

4、ionsiscriticalforbothChineseandglobalEngineering,CarnegieMellonUniversity,Pittsburgh,Pennsylvania,andSustainabilityResearchInstitute,Schoolofpolicy.ItislikelythatotherdevelopingcountriessuchasEarthandEnvironment,UniversityofLeeds,UnitedKingdomVietnamandIndiawilldevelopsimilarlytoChina,andthelessonsl

5、earnedbyanalyzingChina'schangingenergyconsumptionmayprovideguidancetowardalowemissiondevelopmentpathforothercountries.Equallyimportant,China'srapidlygrowingeconomyandenergyconsumptionCO2emissionsoccurringinChinahaveaglobalimpact,andarecreatingseriousenvironmentalproblemsonbothChina'sengagementinglob

6、alclimatechangemitigationisessential.GivenChina'spopulationandexpandingeconomy,localandglobalscales.UnderstandingthekeydriversincreasesinChina'sCO2emissionsarelikelytooffsetbehindChina'sgrowingenergyconsumptionandthepotentiallyhighcostmitigationeffortselsewhere(10,11).InassociatedCO2emissionsiscriti

7、calforthedevelopmentfact,globalCO2emissionshaveincreased(12)despiteglobalofglobalclimatepoliciesandprovidesinsightintohowothereffectsthroughtheUnitedNationsFrameworkConventionemergingeconomiesmaydevel