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页数:16页
时间:2019-07-01
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1、2MacroeconomicEffectsoftheInterestRateLevel:GrowthandFluctuationsinanEconomywithBankCapitalAdequacyStandardsGianfrancoGiulioniDepartmentofQuantitativeMethodsandEconomicTheory,UniversityofChieti-Pescara,Italyg.giulioni@unich.it2.1IntroductionAlargepartofthemacroe
2、conomicliteratureisdedicatedtoidentifyingthedeterminantsoftwophenomena:thegrowthandfluctuationsoftheaggregateoutput.Amongtheproposedexplanations,theoneconcern-ingfinancialfactors(seeGertler,1988,forasurvey)isthatadoptedinthisstudy.Ourgoalistoinvestigatehowtheinte
3、restrateaffectsthegrowthrateandfluctuations(representedbythegrowthvolatility)oftheecon-omywhenthebankingsectormatters.1Intermediariesandespeciallythebankingsectorhavebeentheobjectofincreasinginterestinrecentyears,becauseitcouldbethecauseofseriouscrisisduetotheint
4、erac-tionsontheinterbankmarketandtheconsequentcontagioneffectofaneventualbankfailure.Inreallife,theimportanceofbank’sfinan-cialsoundnesswasrecognizedbytheBaselaccords(BaselCommittee,2003,1998)thatimposeaminimumcapitalizationlevelonbanks.2Aswe’llseeshortlythisisab
5、asicingredientofthemodelpresentedinthispaper.Thepaperisorganizedasfollows.Afterthisintroduction,theagentsandtheirbehaviorarepresentedanddiscussedinsection2.2.Insec-1Theliteratureonthistopiciswide.AsexamplesonecanseeLevine(1997)forasurveyonfinancialdevelopmentand
6、growth;GreenwaldandStiglitz(1993)foratheoreticalmodelonfinancialmarketsimperfectionsandbusinesscycles,andBecketal.(2006)foranempiricalpaperonfinancialintermediarydevelopmentandgrowthvolatility.2Therelationshipbetweenadequatecapitalratiosandbankfailureisanalyzedby
7、Estrellaetal.(2000).18GianfrancoGiulionition2.3themicroeconomicequationsobtainedinsection2.2areturnedintomacroeconomicones.Thisallowsustoderiveourmaintheoreticalresult:thegrowthrateoftheeconomyandtoanalyzeitsdeterminants.Theaggregationinthissectionemploysthecom
8、monlyuseddeviceoftherepresentativeagent.Althoughitisaveryconvenientmakeshift,thiswayofobtainingmacroeconomicresultshidesseveraldrawbacks(seeKirman,1992,forexample).Insection
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