Value-at-Risk and Derivatives Risk风险价值

Value-at-Risk and Derivatives Risk风险价值

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时间:2019-06-24

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1、1Value-at-RiskandDerivativesRiskThecapitalcostassociatedwithoperatingriskismorethanthatduetomarketandcreditrisk.Asthemostrelevantrisktoatradingoperation,operatingriskistheprimaryreasontradingoperationsfailimplyingthatemphasisonrefiningVaRseemstomissthepoint.Datasuggeststhat

2、tradingroomsmakeprofitsprimarilyfrommarket-makingandnotposition-taking;thattheinternalinformationandincentiveenvironmentiswhatmainlyaffectsequitycapital;andthatmosthigh-profileproblemsarethresultsofoperatingrisks.Anoptimalriskmanagementprocessshouldworkmoreatgettingrelevant

3、risksontheradarscreenthanmreasuringwhatalreadyappearsontehscreenmoreprecisely.EricFalkensteinefalken@ix.netcom.comDerivativesQuarterlyVolume4,Number1Fall19972Value-at-RiskandDerivativesRiskValue-at-Risk(VaR)hasbecomeanindispensabletoolformonitoringriskandanintegralpartofmet

4、hodologiesthatallocatecapitaltovariouslinesofbusiness.ItsuseisbeingencouragedbytheBankforInternationalSettlements,theFederalReserveBank,theOCCandtheSecuritiesandExchangeCommissionforjustabouteveryderivativesuser.AmajorprobleminequatingVaRtoriskcapital,however,isthatitiscont

5、radictedbyhowactualfirmshavehistoricallyuseduptheircapital(i.e.,defaulted)fromlossesduetopositiontaking.Considersuchrecenthigh-profiletradingfiascoesasDaiwa,Metallgesellschaft,OrangeCounty,andBarings.Thesewerenotproperlycalculatedrisksthatwentawry,norweretheyoutrightfraudwh

6、ereanunauthorizedintradaypositionblewup.Theyweretheresultofinvestorsormanagementnotfullyunderstandingtherisksthatwerebeingtaken.Theserisksbreakdownsininformation,communication,strategy,etc.arecalledoperatingrisks,andrepresentaresidualofallthingsthatarenotcleanlywithincredit

7、ormarketrisks.Ifoperatingriskaretheprimaryreasonwhytradingoperationsfail,emphasisonrefiningVaRseeminglymissesthepoint.Operatingriskistheneglectedstep-childofriskmanagementforgoodreason.Itisextremelydifficulttoquantifyexistingoperatingrisks,whichinturnmakesitnearimpossibleto

8、evaluatemethodsofmonitoringandreducingtheserisks.Acommonapproachtothisproblemis1to

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