ecran_is109_paper_87_sino-russian_relations_bobo_lo_en

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1、EuropeChinaResearchandAdviceNetwork(ECRAN)2010/256-524ShortTermPolicyBrief87Sino-RussianRelationsMay2014Author:BoboLoThispublicationhasbeenproducedwiththeassistanceoftheEuropeanUnion.ThecontentsofthispublicationarethesoleresponsibilityofECRANandcaninnowaybetakent

2、oreflecttheviewsoftheEuropeanUnion.ThisprojectisfundedbytheEuropeanThisprojectisimplementedbyaConsortiumledbyUnionSteinbeisGmbH&Co.KGfürTechnologietransferBackgroundBriefing:Sino-RussianrelationsExecutivesummary·Sino-Russianrelationsaremoredevelopedthanatanytimei

3、ntheirhistory.Thetwocountriescoordinatecloselyoninternationalissues,andbilateraltradehasgrownthsignificantly.SinceXiJinpingsucceededHuJintaoatthe18PartyCongress,thetempoofrelationshaspickedup.·Thefundamentalsoftherelationshipremainunaltered.Bothsidesopposeglobalg

4、overnanceonWesterntermsandseektoconstrainAmericanpower.Atthesametime,sttheyhavedifferentvisionsofa21century‘multipolar’worldorder.WhereasMoscowseesitselfasan‘equal’and‘independent’centerofglobalpower,Beijing’sfocusisoverwhelminglyontheUnitedStates,withRussiaplayi

5、ngasecondaryandsupportingroleonly.·Strategictrustremainselusive.Theirpartnershipisanaxisofconvenience,drivenbyapragmaticappreciationofthebenefitsofcooperationratherthanadeeperlikemindedness.·Xi’scommitmenttoamoreactiveinternationalroleforChinacouldchangethedynami

6、cofSino-Russianpartnership.ThereisalreadyanxietyinMoscowaboutBeijing’svisionofa‘newpatternofGreatPowerrelations’withWashington.·Economictiesareflourishing,withChinanowcomprising10percentofRussia’soverseastrade,andboostedbyimportantdevelopmentsintheenergysector.Ho

7、wever,theincreasinglyasymmetricalcharacteroftraderemainsasourceofconcerntoMoscow,andalong-termgasdealhasyettobefinalized.·RussiahopestoexploitSino-Americanrivalrytoimproveitschancesofactingasageopolitical‘swing’power.WhileitworriesaboutthestrategicimplicationsofC

8、hina’sriseinthelongerterm,itistheUnitedStatesthatrepresentstheimmediatethreat–aperceptionreinforcedbydevelopmentsinUkraine.·BeijingseesRussialessasacounterweig