价格形态百科-旗形(2)

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1、14、FlagsandPennantsRESULTSSNAPSHOTFlagsAppearanceAshortslopingrectangleboundedbytwoparalleltrendlinesReversalOrConsolidationShort-term(upto3months)consolidationFailureRateinUptrend13%FailureRateinDonwtrend12%AverageRiseinUptrend19%,withmostlikelyrisebeing20%AverageDeclineinDowntrend1

2、7%,withmostlikelydeclinebeing15%VolumeTrenddownwardPullbacks20%Throwbacks10%Percentagemeetingpredictedpricetargetinuptrend63%Percentagemeetingpredictedpricetargetindowntrend61%SeealsoRectangleBottoms;RectangleTopsPennantsAppearanceAshortslopingtriangleboundedbytwoconvergingtrendlines

3、ReversalOrConsolidationShort-term(upto3months)consolidationFailureRateinUptrend19%FailureRateinDonwtrend34%AverageRiseinUptrend21%,withmostlikelyrisebetween15%and20%AverageDeclineinDowntrend17%,withmostlikelydeclinebeing25%VolumeTrenddownwardPullbacks17%Throwbacks16%Percentagemeeting

4、predictedpricetargetinuptrend58%Percentagemeetingpredictedpricetargetindowntrend52%SeealsoTriangles,SymmetricalBottoms;Triangles,SymmetricalTops;Wedges,Falling;Wedges,RisingFlagsandpennantslookalikeandinmanywaystheirperformanceissimilar,too.Theformationsareusuallyveryshortinduration,

5、fromafewdaysto3weeks,andmarkthehalfwaypointinaquickpricemove.Theseformationscanbeprofitableshort-terminvestments,butyoumustbenimbleandattentivetotakefulladvantageofthem.Pennants,withafailurerateof34%indowntrends,areabovethe20%rateIconsideracceptable.Flagsat12%to13%andpennantsinauptre

6、nd(19%)performbetter.旗形和三角旗形外观类似，性能也类似。它们周期相当短，1天到三周，是快速价格运动的中继。短期操作可以获利，但是三角旗形在下跌趋势中失败率相当高，34%。Thepercentageofformationsthatmeetorexceedtheirpredictedpricetargetsisdisappointingforbothflagsandpennants.Iviewvaluesabove80%tobereliable,buttheresultsshowvaluesthatrangefrom52%to63%,sugge

7、stingthatyoushouldtradetheseformationswithcautionasyourprofitsmaynotbeaslargeasyouexpect.目标价格达成率非常让人失望，所以不可奢望太高收益。Themostlikelyriseordeclineisdeceptivefortheseformations.Whenthelikelyriseordeclinevalueisabovetheaverage,itsimplymeansthatafrequencydistributionshowsmorehitsataparticular

8、value,butthe