麦肯锡-公共电视运营模式

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1、DevelopingaSustainableEconomicModelforPublicTelevisionMay29,2003CONFIDENTIALPROJECTASPIRATIONSANDKEYQUESTIONSIdentifyanddrivemajorchangesthatwillputpublictelevisiononamoresoundeconomicfootingandensureitsfuturesuccessHowsevereandlonglastingarethefinancialpressuresonthesystem?Howshouldwelaunchthes

2、einitiativesandeffectlastingchange?Whichperformanceimprovementopportunitiesofferthemostpromise?1CHALLENGES:BOTHSTATIONECONOMIESANDPROGRAMDEVELOPMENTAREAT-RISK*Excludescapitalfundingfordigitalupgrade.Revenuesnotadjustedforinflation**Growthratefrom1994-2001Source:CPBAuditedFinancialReports(AFR),PB

3、Sanalysis(dues),AppendixQfromPBSSGwhitepaper(“FundingforPBSNPSProgrammingbyFunderCategory”)$1.93Billion$450Million2001LocalStationEconomy2001NationalProgramFundingProspectsforfuturerevenuegrowth3.5%peryear*3.1%peryear**Historicalgrowthinrevenues(1990-2001)CurrentsizeDeclineinrealtermsduetofall

4、ingnetmemberrevenuesAsystemdecision5.4%peryearFlattoveryslowlygrowing(1%aboveinflation)2001StationAssessment$107M2273.3374.0249.4328.5230.5330.5205.6347.6128.6259.6104.2145.662.994.5TotalPTVsystemrevenue,*1990and2001$MillionsUniversityIn-kindCorporateandfoundationgivingUnrelatedbusinessStateandl

5、ocalfundingFederalfunding**Membergiving*Excludescapitalfundingfordigitalupgrade,additionalcapitalfundraising,endowment,andinterest**Federalagencygrantsfor2001areestimated(assumed5%growthover2000)Source:AFR;federalreports;PBSannualreports$1.25billion$1.88billionCHALLENGES:ONLYGROWTHAREASAREUNREL

6、ATEDBUSINESSANDUNDERWRITING199020013.83.16.64.93.32.9AnnualGrowth%1990-20012.5Driversofgrowth3CHALLENGES:HISTORICALLY,THESYSTEMHASGROWNTHROUGHDIVERSIFICATION–NOWALLREVENUESOURCESARETHREATENEDSource:AFRs;TeamperspectiveFutureOutlook4CHALLENGES:NETSTATIONMEMBERSHIPREVENUEHASDECLINEDINREALTERMSSINC

7、E1990*Allgrowthratesarecompoundannualgrowthrates.Source:AFRs;BureauofLaborStatisticsFundraisingcosts:1.0%Netmembershiprevenues:-0.9%$17millionlostincome$Millions,Adjustedforinflationtoconstant2001$Grossrevenues:0.1%*5CHALLEN