大型舰船的全船姿态实时预报技术

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1、分类号TN249学号14070002ＵＤＣ密级公开工学硕士学位论文大型舰船的全船姿态实时预报技术硕士生姓名卞德军学科专业光学工程研究方向光电仪器与测控技术指导教师秦石乔教授国防科学技术大学研究生院二〇一六年十一月RealtimeforecastingtechnologyforwholeshipattitudeCandidate：BianDejunAdvisor：QinShiqiaoAdissertationSubmittedinpartialfulfillmentoftherequirementsforthedegreeofMasterofEngineeringin

2、OpticalEngineeringGraduateSchoolofNationalUniversityofDefenseTechnologyChangsha，Hunan，P.R.China（November，2016）国防科学技术大学研究生院硕士学位论文目录摘要..............................................................................................................iABSTRACT...................................

3、..................................................................iii第一章绪论....................................................................................................11.1课题研究的背景及意义..................................................................................11.2船舶运动时域预报技术的研

4、究现状..............................................................21.3船舶运动空域预报技术的研究现状..............................................................41.3.1传统姿态预报方法................................................................................51.3.2全舰姿态预报法.................................

5、...................................................51.4论文的结构安排..............................................................................................6第二章舰船姿态短时预报模型........................................................................92.1传统的时间序列预报模型.............................

6、.................................................92.1.1自回归（AR）模型的参数辨识...........................................................92.1.2舰船姿态运动的AR预报模型...........................................................112.1.3仿真计算与结果分析................................................................

7、..........122.2基于经验模态分解的时间序列预报模型....................................................142.2.1经验模态分解......................................................................................142.2.2基于EMD的AR预报模型................................................................192.2.3仿真计算与结果分析..