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ID:36929843
大小:267.00 KB
页数:11页
时间:2019-05-11
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1、ResiliencetoCrisis:Whathavewelearned?DuncanGreen,OxfamGBUNDESAExpertGroupMeetingonPovertyEradicationAddisAbaba,September2010Oxfam’sresearchontheeconomiccrisis12countrycasestudies,involving2,500individuals-varietyofmethodsDeskreviewofotherresearchbymultilateralsandacademicinstitutions
2、AnalysisoffiscalimpactinlowincomecountriesAllpapersavailableatwww.oxfam.org.uk/economiccrisisChannelsoftransmissionFinanceTradeRemittancesInformaleconomyGovernmentspending…?Aidbudgets?Regionalgeneralisations(withhealthwarnings)EastAsia:ManufacturestradeandlabourmarketsAfrica&Pacific:Co
3、mmodityexportsandtraderevenueLatinAmerica:BothEasternEurope:FinancialcontagionCentralAsia:RemittancesandtradewithRussiaSouthAsia:relativelyinsulated,SriLankaworsthitFiscalimpactsinlowincomecountriesFiscalimpacts(cont’d)Budgetsin2010arebeingcutonaverageby0.2%ofGDPTwo-thirdsofthecountrie
4、sforwhichsocialspendingdetailsareavailable(18outof24)arecuttingbudgetallocationsinoneormoreoftheprioritysocialsectorsofeducation,health,agricultureandsocialprotectionEducationandsocialprotectionareparticularlybadlyaffected,withaveragespendinglevelsin2010lowereventhanthosein2008Adaptedf
5、romDianeElson,UniversityofEssexTransmissionImpactResponseFinanceGendernumbersGendernormsCapitalflightDevaluationConfidenceAidFDICreditsqueezeInvestmentAssetpricesSupportforbanksLoansfromIFIsBorrowingConcessionsforinvestorsProductionGendernumbersGendernorms(Export)demandOutputEmployment
6、EnjoymentofrightsSubsidiesforselectedindustriesLooseninglabourlawsReproductionGendernumbersGendernormsRemittancesInformalpaidworkGovtsocialexpenditureEarningsNutritionSchoolattendanceUnpaidworkInformalpaidworkSocialprotectionEconomicSphereGenderedimpactsResiliencetothecrisisSofar,count
7、riesandhouseholdshavedealtbetterwiththeeconomiccrisisthanweexpectedFamilieshavesupportedeachother,sharedfood,information,money,keptchildreninschoolManyofthoseaffectedhavenotreceivedformalsupportWhatarethelimitsofresilience–forfamiliesandnations,inthecontextofongoingshocks?Sourcesofre
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