决策支持系统在风险投资评估与决策中的应用研究

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1、上海交通大学硕士学位论文决策支持系统在风险投资评估与决策中的应用研究姓名：娄振芳申请学位级别：硕士专业：管理科学与工程指导教师：陈忠2001.1.1AStudyofDSSApplicationinDecisionMakingProcessofVentureCapitalABSTRACTVenturecapitalisthemostimportantcapitalresourceofhigh—techindustry，aswellasthe‘‘propeller”ofthedevelopmentofhigh-

2、techindustryofChina．Thewayitworkscouldhaveessentialinfluenceonthegrowthofhigh—techindustry，whichiscalledthe40industryofChina．DSS(DecisionSupportSystem)isaneffectiveassistanttoolforthedecision-makerstomakedecisionquicklyandefficiently．Thisthesisalmsatstudyo

3、fDSSApplicationindecisionmakingprocessofventurecapitalThethesisanalyzes4featuresofdecisionmakingofventurecapital，theyareshorttimefordecisionmaking；relatingtowildrangeofprofessionalfieldsandneedslotsofupdatedinformation；dependingontheexperts’opinion；andport

4、folioinvestment．Accordingtothese4features，thethesisanalyzesapracticalexample，anddemonstratesthenecessityandpossibilitytoapplyDSSinthedecisionmakingprocessofventurecapital．Thethesisalsobuildupandstructuremodelofventurecapitaldecisionsupportsystem(VCDSS)，and

5、explainsthefunctionofitseachpart．Theresearchemphasizeson3contents：(1)Buildupaevaluationindexofventurecapitalprojects；builduptheevaluationmodel；usedynamicplanning，buildupacapitaldistribufionmodel．(2)Giveanexampleofexpertassistantdecisionsupportsystem．andexp

6、lainsthefunctionandadvantagetoapplyDSSinthedecisionmakingprocessofventurecapital．(3)Accordingtothe4featuresofventurecapitaldecisionmaking，buildupthestructuremodelofventurecapitaldecisionsupportsystem．InordertosolvetheproblemofDatarich—Informationpoor，addth

7、edatawarehouseinthetraditionalDSS．Thethesisiscomposedof5parts：Chapter1，thebackgroundofthisthesis，VentureCapitalanditsfeature．Chapter2，theexistingmethodforVentureCapitaldecision—makingworldwide，andJJadvicebyitsowncontentofVCdecision—making．Chapter3，theDSSan

8、ditsfunction，explainthereasonwhyIrecommendittobeappliedinVCdecision-making．Charpter4，combinationtheVCdecision—makingwithDSS，bymeansofraisinganexampleofDSSapplicationintheexpert·assistingdecision-making，thethe